The Future of Polyvinylchloride (PVC) and PVC Compound in China

Report edition: 2008 edition(1)
Finished time: Dec. 2008
Document type: PDF
Total pages : 219
Language version: English
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CCM_sample_The Future of Polyvinylchloride (PVC) and PVC Compound in China

Introduction
Main contents
List of tables
List of figures

Description:

China, with its great development of PVC, captures about 30% global PVC output and consumption and it is the largest manufacturer and consumer of PVC in the world.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both of calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since China has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As the 60%~80% production cost comes from raw materials cost, any price change of raw material will impart both method greatly. As price of calcium carbide is low in the past several years, Chinese PVC As the largest PVC manufacturer and consumer in the world, China captures about 30% of global PVC output and consumption at present.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since it has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As 60%~80% of production cost comes from raw materials, any price change in raw material will greatly impart China’s PVC production. In the past several years, China’s PVC export has been rising with the low price of calcium carbide. But from July 2008, with the price fall of crude oil, the production cost of ethylene method has been lower than that of calcium carbide method, thus some Chinese PVC manufacturers have shifted to ethylene method.

The analysis of the gross profit of each production method in China during different periods will help you better understand how the raw materials impact the PVC production in China.

Though China is still a net importer of PVC and PVC compound, its import volume has reduced from 2003 greatly. Besides, the capacity growth rate has maintained around 30% in the past few years. With the continuous capacity expansion, China is likely to face overcapacity in the future.

The major driver of the increasing PVC and PVC compound output in China is the growing downstream demand. And the development trend of these downstream industries and their consumption of PVC and PVC compound are also disclosed in this report.

Affected by the global financial crisis, the downstream demand for PVC and PVC compound, especially from construction industry, has greatly reduced. This report forecasts the future development of China’s PVC market in the next 10 years and the opportunities in PVC industry.

The report also covers the following aspects of China’s PVC industry:

- All the PVC producers and some major PVC compound producers in China, which have been sourced and contacted.

- Comparison between calcium carbide method and ethylene method

- Import & export analysis of PVC and PVC compound in China

- Consumption pattern in different end-use segments.

- Investment opportunities in China’s PVC industry

Main contents:

No.	Content	Page
	Executive Summary	9
	Source & methodology	16
I	Brief Introduction to PVC industry in China	18
I-1	Brief introduction to PVC	18
I-2	PVC industry in China	26
II	Production of PVC and PVC compound in China	28
II-1	Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China	28
II-1.1	China PVC situation in the global market	28
II-1.2	Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China	29
II-1.3	Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in China in 2008	32
II-1.4	Major problems of China's PVC industry	34
II-2	Technology and production cost	35
II-2.1	Production method	35
II-2.1.1	Classification by polymerization method	35
II-2.1.2	Classification by raw materials	0
II-2.1.3	Production methods of PVC compound	44
II-2.2	Production cost	48
II-2.2.1	Production cost of calcium carbide method	48
II-2.2.2	Production cost of ethylene method	51
II-2.2.3	Comparison of gross profit between calcium carbide and ethylene method	52
II-3	Major players of PVC compound in China	67
II-3.1	Industry concentration	67
II-3.2	Geographic distribution of PVC in China	68
II-4	New PVC and PVC compound projects under construction or projects to be constructed	74
II-5	Introduction to raw materials of PVC production	75
II-5.1	Calcium carbide	75
II-5.2	EDC	81
II-5.3	VCM	83
II-5.4	Ethylene	84
II-5.5	Crude oil	87
II-5.6	Coal and electricity	88
II-5.7	Salt	90
II-6	Forecast on the production of PVC and PVC compound in the next 5-10 years in China	91
II-6.1	Forecast on the PVC production in the next 5~10 years	91
II-6.2	Forecast on the PVC compound production in the next 5~10 years	93
III	Demand for PVC and PVC compound	95
III-1	Global demand for PVC compound	95
III-2	Domestic demand for PVC compound	98
III-2.1	Overview of PVC consumption in China	98
III-2.2	Market size and share of PVC and PVC compound in major end use segments	109
	- Automobile	110
	- Medical	111
	- Construction	113
	- Packaging	114
	- Others	115
III-2.3	Trends in market size by end use segments	116
III-2.4	Forecast on PVC and PVC compound demand	118
IV	Import & export analysis of PVC and PVC compound in the recent three years	124
IV-1	Import situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)	126
IV-1.1	Import volume and price	126
IV-1.2	Major importers	128
IV-1.3	Import origin	132
IV-1.4	Import by province	135
IV-2	Export situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)	139
IV-2.1	Export volume and price	139
IV-2.2	Major exporters	141
IV-2.3	Export destination	146
IV-2.4	Export by province	150
V	Pricing of PVC compound	155
V-1	Price changes in the past few years	155
V-2	Factors resulting in price changes	156
V-3	Forecast on PVC price changes in next 10 years	159
VI	Forecast on China's PVC compound market to the next 5~10 years	161
VI-1	Factors influencing China's PVC industry	161
VI-1.1	Governmental policies	161
VI-1.2	Macroeconomic factors	164
VI-1.3	Raw materials supply	165
VI-1.4	Technological factors	167
VI-1.5	Inefficient facilities	169
VI-1.6	Lack of capital	170
VI-2	Forecast on PVC compound to the next 5~10 years	171
VII	Investment opportunities in China's PVC industry	174
VIII	Conclusion and suggestions	177
IX	Appendix: profiles of manufacturers	178
IX-1	Active PVC manufacturers	178
IX-1.1	Tianjin Dagu Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.	178
… …… …		0
IX-1.30	Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd	211
IX-2	Active PVC compound manufacturers	213
IX-2.1	Dongguan Win-Tech Plastic Materials Co., Ltd.	213
… …… …		0
IX-2.10	Daiden Plastics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd	219

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List of tables:

Table No.	Table Title
Table I-1.1	Comparison of properties and applications among PVC, PE and PP
Table I-1.3	Corresponding relationship of Henan Haohua’s PVC with national standard
Table I-1.2	Import, export and apparent consumption of PE, PP and PVC in China in 1998~2007 (Unit: 1,000 tonnes)
Table I-1.4	National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-1
Table I-1.5	National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-2
Table II-5.2-1	Production situation of EDC in China in 2005~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.2-2	Capacity of major EDC manufacturers in China in 2007
Table II-5.3-1	Consumption of VCM in China in 2001~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.4-1	Consumption of ethylene in China in 2000~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.4-2	Unit consumption of ethylene in China, 2003-2020 (t/t)
Table II-5.4-3	Forecast on ethylene output and consumption in China, 2010-2020 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-6-1	Assumptions on the GDP growth in China, 2009~2018
Table II-6.1-1	Trends influencing the PVC development in China
Table II-6.1-2	Historical growth of PVC production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.1-3	Future forecast on PVC production in China, 2007~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table II-6.2-1	Trends influencing the development of PVC compound in China
Table II-6.2-2	Historical growth of PVC compound production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.2-3	Future forecast on PVC compound output in China, 2007~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.1-1	PVC consumption in China in 2007, break down by different end-use segment, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.1-2	Major specifications of PVC resin used in China
Table III-2.1-3	Geographic distribution of PVC consumption in China in 2007
Table III-2.1-3	Major producers of PVC profiles in China in 2007
Table III-2.2-1	Realty fixed assets investment in China
Table III-2.4-1	Trends influencing the development of PVC
Table III-2.4-2	Future forecast on PVC consumption in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-3	Future forecast on the consumption of PVC compound in China, 2008~2018, ‘000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-4	Future forecast on market size of PVC in automobile industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-5	Future forecast on market size of PVC in medical industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-6	Future forecast on market size of PVC in construction industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-7	Future forecast on market size of PVC in packaging industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table IV-1	Import and export volume of PVC in China in 1998~2008est, 1,000 tonnes
Table IV-2	Import and export volume of PVC compound in China in 1998~2008est
Table IV-1.2-1	Major PVC importers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-2	Major importers of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-3	Major importers of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-1	Major import origins of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-2	Major import origins of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-3	Major import origins of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-1	PVC import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-2	PVC compound import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-3	PVC paste import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-1	Major PVC exporters in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-2	PVC export carried out by manufacturers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-3	Export situation of China’s PVC manufacturers, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-4	Major exporters of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-5	Major exporters of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-1	Export destinations of China’s PVC, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-2	Export destinations of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-3	Export destination of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-1	Export situation of PVC in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-2	Export situation of PVC compound in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-3	Export situation of PVC paste in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table V-1.1-1	Classification of enterprises in calcium carbide industry in China
Table V-1.1-2	Electricity price policy on the high energy-consuming industry in China
Table V-1.1-3	Export rebate rate for plastics and plastic products in China
Table VI-2.1-1	Supply situation of crude oil in China, 2002~2007, million tonnes
Table VI-2.1-2	Comparison of acetylene production methods of wet process and dry process
Table VI-2-1	Future growth of PVC in China to 2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table VI-2-2	Future growth of PVC compound in China to 2018, 1,000 tonnes

List of figures:

Figure No.	Figure Title
Figure II-1.1.2	Growth rate of China’s and global PVC capacity and output in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.1.3	Newly-added PVC capacity and output in China and the world in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.2.1	Production situation of PVC in China in 1995~2007
Figure II-1.2.2	Production situation of PVC in the world in 2000~2007
Figure II-1.2.3	Production situation of PVC compound in China in 2002~2007
Figure II-1.3-1	Production situation of PVC in China in Jan.-Oct. 2008
Figure II-1.3-2	PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by raw material, 1,000 tonnes
Figure II-1.3-3	PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by polymerization method, 1,000 tonnes
Figure II-2.1.1-1	PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.1-2	Growth rate of PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-1	PVC output and growth rate by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-2	PVC output structure by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.2.1-1	Production chain of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-2	Major production process for PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-3	General production cost structure of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.3-1	Production cost of PVC in China, Jan. 2007- Nov. 2008

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The Future of Polyvinylchloride (PVC) and PVC Compound in China

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