On the afternoon of May 7th, Dr. Duan Yousheng gave the lecture of Big Data Analysis on China Pesticide Industry at the 2014 Economic Analysis Conference of China Pesticide Industry. From Dr. Duan's report, the attendees comprehended a full view of pesticide production and usage in China for the very first time.
According to years' of data accumulation by China Agrochemical Industry Network (www.cnchemicals.com), Dr. Duan analyzed pesticide application situation in China. He pointed out that in recent years, China has become the largest pesticide user in the world. Either seen from domestic usage or export situation, herbicide accounted the largest proportion of all pesticide varieties.
Export has always been an important index for China pesticide industry. In recent years, China has exported more and more pesticide to abroad, and the percentage of formulation products has been increasing. Dr. Duan introduced that according to data collected from ACE Exhibition and CAC Exhibition (two largest exhibitions for pesticide products in China), there have been more and more foreign pesticide businessmen attracted by the exhibition in the past few years, and a positive correlation is showed between the products' popularity degree and their export volume.
The global pesticide market has been increasing since 2009, so as the performance of some multinational corporations. Dr. Duan analyzed some major pesticides' (including glyphosate, paraquat, imidacloprid and chlorpyrifos etc.) export tendency using the integrated diagrams based on export BIG DATA. In the report, more than million data points were presented in a chart with certain pattern, and a 3-D figure of China pesticide market was showed to the attendees. What's worth to mention is that it's the first time that in China people use BIG DATA to analyze pesticide market trend, and it does help a lot on understanding and judging the whole market's tendency.
Dr. Duan pointed out that low-end market competition still exist in China pesticide industry. However the factors of global economic downturn and high pressure of environmental protection are pushing China pesticide enterprises to find their way to breakthrough and realize automation and mechanization. Future trend for Chinese manufacturers are to transfer their manpower from the part of production to the part of crop protection service and build up their own brand to expand domestic demand.
Hence Dr. Duan considered that there are six factors that may promote the industry's growth: transformation and upgrading (represented by HSE promotion), environmental protection pressure leading to the concentration degree up, reduce enterprises' administrative cost, provide service chain of using pesticide safely, promote GMO crops and make scientific decisions based on BIG DATA.