EU meat and milk production to rise in 2014

Publish time: 7th March, 2014      Source:
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March 7, 2014


EU meat and milk production to rise in 2014


Fuelled by the improvements in economy and of meat availability, EU meat consumption is expected to increase in the short run.



EU meat production and consumption is expected to recover in 2014, following two successive years of contracted beef and pork domestic supply and demand. Some re-building of the dairy herd should lead to higher beef meat supply, while increased productivity in the pig meat sector could allow production to recover, following the strong decline in the sow herd observed in 2012 and 2013 linked to the implementation of the new EU welfare rules for sows.



Induced by strong global demand, high milk prices have triggered a significant rebound in milk production in the second half of 2013, more than offsetting the decrease of the first months of the year. In 2013, the number of EU dairy cows increased significantly, thus leading to expectations that milk collection should increase in both 2014 and 2015. Although no significant surge in milk production is expected after the quota system is abolished, higher milk availability should allow grasping export opportunities in world markets, in particular for milk powders and cheese.



The good 2013 cereal harvest (+8.3% with respect to 2012) should allow for a recovery in stocks by the end of the 2013-14 marketing year; yet stocks are expected to remain below average as EU exports could reach a record level, exceeding 37 million tonnes. Early estimates for 2014 sowings indicate a slight increase in cereal area (+0.8%), mainly due to soft wheat (+2.8%).



The Short-term outlook is based on reflections of market experts within the Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development of the European Commission, using the latest data available. It is published three times per year (in late winter, early summer and early autumn).