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No. 0062Y001 The Future of Yellow Phosphorus in China  - Edition(2)

 

 

About This Report:

 

Report edition:  2009 edition(2)
Language version: English
Document type: PDF File,(*.pdf)
For ready report --    
  Finished in: Jan 2009 ,edition(2)
  Total pages: 165
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Report Edition List:

 

Version Finished in Availability Language   Pages   Delivery Price/Copy (For single user)
update report - update on request English - within 20-40 work days upon confirmation USD10000.00
2009,edition(2) Jan,2009 available English 165 within 1-1 work days by email USD8000.00
2007,edition(1) Aug,2007 available English 109 within 1-1 work days by email USD8000.00

 

 

Description:

 

Yellow phosphorus, the second largest consumer of phosphorus ore, an irreplaceable and non-renewable resource and closely related to people’s life, constitutes about 15% of phosphorus ore consumption in China.

China owns the largest capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in the world. However, Overcapacity has emerged as an eminent problem in Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in recent years. For example China’s capacity in 2008 is about double the size of the global demand, which is only about 800,000-900,000 tonnes every year. That suggests a very low operating rate of China’s yellow phosphorus industry about one third of its capacity during 2003-2008. What are reasons for the low operating rate, or why Chinese yellow phosphorus producers expand their capacity to such a large scale?

In China, like several years ago, most yellow phosphorus was consumed by thermal phosphoric acid and phosphorus trichloride in 2008. However, the consumption structure of yellow phosphorus is changing every year. The yellow phosphorus consumption by thermal phosphoric acid has been shrinking by consumption share in recent years, while the share of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride has been increasing. What other changes have taken place to Chinese yellow phosphorus consumption and what have driven such changes to happen?

The price of Chinese yellow phosphorus, closely related to supply/demand dynamics, changing with global economic environment, seasons, national policy etc., has experienced great fluctuations in 2008, with the highest reaching USD3,504/t and the lowest dropping to USD1,606/t.

It is estimated that the years of exploiting remaining for yellow phosphorus in China are only 30, so China is adjusting industrial structure of yellow phosphorus for saving phosphorus resource. What’s the influence on resource supply, manufacturers, capacity and output of Chinese yellow phosphorus caused by adjusting industrial structure?

In this report, you can find the answers to all the above questions.

Besides, this report also tries to find answers to the following questions:

 What is the resource supply situation in China for yellow phosphorus industry?
 How is the production situation of Chinese yellow phosphors? The production part covers capacity & output, manufacturers’ situation, price, existing problems, cutting edge technologies, comparison of production cost, competitive strategy, etc.
 How is yellow phosphorus consumed and what changes have taken place to the consumption in recent years?
 What are the development trends about capacity, output, manufacturers, resource supply, consumption situation in 2009-2018, based on large numbers of first-hand information and advanced forecast method?
 What is IE analysis of Chinese yellow phosphorus in 2008?
 What is SWOT analysis of top 5 manufacturers of Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in Jan. 2009?
 What are experts’ comments on market opportunity of Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in the following years?

With this report, you will gain a complete and in-depth impression of Chinese yellow phosphorus industry, its past, present and future.

 

Main Content:

 

No. Content
Page
Executive Summary
8
Introduction and methodology
14
I Resource supply of yellow phosphorus in China
17
I-1 Electricity
17
I-2 Coke
22
I-3 Phosphorus ore
24
- Distribution & reserves
24
- Exploitation & consumption
26
- Policy
29
- Import & export
31
II Production situation of yellow phosphorus in China
32
II-1 Overview of yellow phosphorus industry
32
- Capacity & output of yellow phosphorus in China
32
- Geographical distribution of yellow phosphorus in China in 2008
34
II-2 Situation of major yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China
40
- Overview of major yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China
40
- Major manufacturers and their source supply
43
II-3 Price of yellow phosphorus in China in recent years
48
- Price of yellow phosphorus and its trend in China
48
-Price in the following five years
50
II-4 Cutting edge technologies
50
II-5 Problems existing in yellow phosphorus industry
54
II-6 Competition strategy
56
III Consumption of yellow phosphorus in China
59
III-1 Overview of yellow phosphorus consumption
59
III-1.1 By volume
59
III-1.2 By region
60
III-1.3 By end use
61
III-2 Introduction of end use segments of yellow phosphorus
63
III-2.1 Thermal phosphoric acid
63
III-2.1.1 Application of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid
63
III-2.1.2 Overview of thermal phosphoric acid industry
63
III-2.1.3 Major end users
73
III-2.2 Phosphorus trichloride
74
III-2.2.1 Application of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride industry
74
III-2.2.2 Overview of phosphoric acid & phosphate industry
75
III-2.2.3 Major end users
78
III-2-3 Other industries (phosphorus pentasulfide, phosphorus pentoxide and sodium hypophosphite, etc.)
79
IV Import and export situation of yellow phosphorus in China
80
V Forecast on yellow phosphorus development in China, 2009~2013~2018
87
V-1 Key factors influencing yellow phosphorous development
87
- Overview of key factors
87
- Analysis of top 5 drivers and top 5 barriers
88
V-2 Forecast on yellow phosphorus industry
91
V-2.1 Forecast on capacity & output of yellow phosphorus
91
V-2.2 Forecast on producers of yellow phosphorus
95
V-2.3 Forecast on resource supply in China
96
V-2.4 Forecast on consumption of yellow phosphorus
96
VI Conclusion and recommendation
105
- Conclusion
105
- Recommendation
105
VII Appendix: profiles of major manufacturers and end users
107
VII-1.1 Sichuan Chuantou Electrometallurgy Co., Ltd.
107
...
VII-1.21 Guizhou Lindu Chemcal Co., Ltd.
132
VII-2.1 Guangxi Mingli Group
133
...
VII-2.10 Sichuan Mianzhu Norwest Phosphate Chemical Company Limited
145
VII-3.1 Zhejiang Wynca Chemical Group Co., Ltd.
146
...
VII-3.10 Changzhou Cuiqiao Weixing Chemical Co.,Ltd.
158
VIII Site visit report of Guangzhou agency of Sichuan Shifang Kanglong Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
160
IX SWOT analysis of top five producers, by capacity, Jan. 2009
164

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1  Production and consumption situation of Chinese yellow phosphorus, 2000-2008
Table 2  Exchange rate of USD against RMB, 1994-2008
Table I-1-1 Generation and consumption of electricity in China, billion kWh
Table I-1-2 Different fates of enterprises in yellow phosphorus industry in China
Table I-1-3 China’s electricity price policy on high energy-consuming industries
Table I-2-1 Export tax for coke in China
Table I-3-1 Character of Chinese phosphorus ore exploitation enterprises, 2008
Table I-3-2 Evaluation of years of extraction remaining and exploitation cost of Chinese phosphorus ore
Table I-3-3 Output and apparent consumption of phosphorus ore in China, 1996-2007
Table II-1-1 Capacity of yellow phosphorus in different regions in the world, tonne
Table II-1-2 Output of yellow phosphorus in different regions in China in the past few years, tonne
Table II-1-3 Output of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan in the past few years, tonne
Table II-1-4 Output of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou in the past few years, tonne
Table II-1-5 Output of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan in the past few years, tonne
Table II-1-6 Output of yellow phosphorus in Hubei in the past few years, tonne
Table II-2-1 Main yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China, Jan. 2009
Table II-2-2 Top 4 yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China, by capacity, Jan. 2009 and the biggest advantage for each
Table II-2-3 Deadline of reconstruction for existing yellow phosphorus enterprises
Table II-2-4 Requirement on indexes of yellow phosphorus equipment
Table II-2-5 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan in Jan. 2009
Table II-2-6 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou in Jan. 2009
Table II-2-7 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan in Jan. 2009
Table II-2-8 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in Hubei in Jan. 2009
Table II-4-1 Content of tail gas in yellow phosphorus
Table II-4-2 Substances and their concentrations in yellow phosphorus wastewater
Table II-4-3 Comparisons of settlement-oxidation method and closed-circuit method
Table II-5-1 Indexes required in the new “Pollutant Discharge Standard for Yellow Phosphorus Industries” on yellow phosphorus production in China
Table II-5-2 Manufacturing cost of yellow phosphorus in China in Dec. 2008
Table III-1.2-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption situation by province in China in 2008, tonne
Table III-2.1.2-1 Competition among different phosphoric acid in China
Table III-2.1.2-2 Development and application of kiln process for phosphoric acid production in China
Table III-2.1.2-3 Usage of different phosphoric acid
Table III-2.1.2-4 Deadline for ban on use of phosphate detergent in different places of China
Table III-2.1.3-1 Some major end users of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid industry in China in 2008
Table III-2.1.3-2 Some major sodium tripolyphosphate manufacturers in China in 2008
Table III-2.2.2-1 Glyphosate technical output and its PCl3 consumption in China, 2001~2008, by different pathways
Table III-2.2.3-1 Major end users of yellow phosphorus in PCl3 industry in China in 2008
Table IV-1 Export and import situation of yellow phosphorus in China in the past few years: tonne
Table IV-2 Export tariff and export rebate of yellow phosphorus changes in China
Table IV-3 Yellow phosphorus export situation of different provinces in China in 2008(Jan-Nov), tonne
Table IV-4 Active exporters of yellow phosphorus in 2008(Jan-Nov)
Table IV-5 Export situation of yellow phosphorus manufacturers in 2008(Jan-Nov)
Table IV-6 Export destination of yellow phosphorus in 2008(Jan-Nov)
Table V-1-1 The number of respondents to questionnaire concerning yellow phosphorus
Table V-2.1-1 Assumption of GDP growth, 2009-2013-2018
Table V-2.1-2 Development trends influencing capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China
Table V-2.4-1 Trends Influencing thermal phosphoric acid
Table V-2.4-2 Historical Growth Rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by thermal phosphoric acid, 2003-2008
Table V-2.4-3 Trends Influencing phosphorus trichloride
Table V-2.4-4 Historical Growth Rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by phosphorus trichloride, 2003-2008
Table V-2.4-5 Trends Influencing other products
Table V-2.4-6 Historical Growth Rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by other products, 2003-2008
Table VII-1.2-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Malong, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.3-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Hubei Xingfa, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.4-1 Subsidiaries who produce yellow phosphorus and their production capacity in Yunnan YunPhos, tones, 2007
Table VII-1.5-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Qianneng Tianhe, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.6-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Sino-Phos, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.7-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Jiangsu Chengxing, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.8-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Jianglin, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.9-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Pingbian Welfare, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.10-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Dean, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.11-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Anda, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.12-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan Aostar, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.13-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Xifeng, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.15-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Kailin, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.16-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Xudong, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.17-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Lichen Group, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.18-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Hubei Juli, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.19-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Huaye, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.20-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Yichang Chuyuan, 2006-2009
Table VII-1.21-1 Output and capacity of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou Lindu, 2006-2009
Table IX-1 Yunnan Malong Industry Group Co., Ltd. (Yunnan Malong)
Table IX-2 Jiangsu Jiangyin Chengxing Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (Jiangsu Chengxing)
Table IX-4 Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co., Ltd. (Hubei Xingfa)
Table IX-5 Yunnan Phosphorus Group Co.,Ltd. (Yunnan YunPhos)

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure I  Phosphorus resource of main regions in China, Million tonnes
Figure 2  Consumption of phosphorus ores in China, 1996-2007, ‘000 tonnes
Figure 3  Production, domestic consumption and export situation of Chinese yellow phosphorus, 2000-2008
Figure 4  Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in China in Jan. 2009
Figure 5  Price changes of yellow phosphorus in China in recent years
Figure 6  Forecast on capacity, output and consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2009-2018
Figure I-1-1 Electricity supply structure in China in 2003~2008(est) by source
Figure I-2-1 Output, apparent consumption and growth rate of coke in China in 2003~2008
Figure I-2-2 Export volume of coke in China in 2003~2008est
Figure I-3-1 Statistic of world phosphorus reserves
Figure I-3-2 Phosphorus resource of main regions in China, Million tonnes
Figure I-3-3 Consumption of phosphorus ores in China, 1996-2007, Unit: ‘000 tonnes
Figure I-3-4 Comparison of consumption pattern of phosphorus ore in China and overseas countries, 2007
Figure I-3-5 Export volume of phosphorus ores in China, 1996-2008
Figure II-1-1 Capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000-2008
Figure II-1-2 Capacity structure of yellow phosphorus in China in 2009E, by production province
Figure II-1-3 Yellow phosphorus output structure in China, 1999-2008, by production province
Figure II-2-1 Main manufacturers of yellow phosphorus in China in Jan. 2009
Figure II-3-1 Price changes of yellow phosphorus in China in recent years
Figure II-3-2 Average price of yellow phosphorus in main phosphorus-producing areas 2008, USD/t
Figure II-4-1 Production process of electric furnace method
Figure III-1 Industrial chain of yellow phosphorus in China
Figure III-1.1-1 Apparent consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-1.2-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption structure by province in China in 2008
Figure III-1.3-1 Yellow phosphorus consumption in downstream industries in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-1.3-2 Consumption structure of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-2.1.1-1 Consumption of yellow phosphorus in thermal phosphoric acid industry in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-2.1.2-1 Output of sodium tripolyphosphate and its consumption share in thermal phosphoric acid in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-2.1.2-2 Output, export and apparent consumption of sodium tripolyphosphate in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-2.1.2-3 Export volume and export share in output of sodium tripolyphosphate in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-2.1.2-4 Phosphorus pollution in Taihu Lake
Figure III-2.2.1-1 Consumption of yellow phosphorus in phosphorus trichloride industry in China
Figure III-2.2.2-1 Consumption structure of PCl3 in China in 2004 by end use
Figure III-2.2.2-2 PCl3 consumption volume in glyphosate and its share in total PCl3 consumption in China, 2001~2008
Figure IV-1 Export volume and the share in output of yellow phosphorus in China in the past few years
Figure IV-2 Export price of yellow phosphorus in China in the past few years
Figure IV-3 Export volume and price of yellow phosphorus in China in 2008(Jan-Nov)
Figure IV-4 Export structure of Chinese yellow phosphorus in 2008(Jan-Nov), by export destination
Figure V-1-1 Experts’ comment on importance of main drivers for yellow phosphorus industry
Figure V-1-2 Experts’ comment on importance of main barriers in China’s yellow phosphorus industry
Figure V-2.1-1 GDP growth in China, 2003-2008
Figure V-2.1-2 Historical growth rate of capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2003~2008
Figure V-2.1-3 Experts’ forecast on yellow phosphorus capacity&output CAGR, ’09’13; ’14-‘18
Figure V-2.1-4 Projection on capacity of yellow phosphorus in China, ’09-‘18
Figure V-2.1-5 Projection on output of yellow phosphorus in China, ’09-‘18
Figure V-2.2-1 Experts’ forecast on manufacturers’ development trends of yellow phosphorus in China
Figure V-2.4-1 Experts’ forecast on growth rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by thermal phosphoric acid and sodium tripolyphosphate
Figure V-2.4-2 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by thermal phosphoric acid in China, 2009-2018
Figure V-2.4-3 Experts’ forecast on growth rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by phosphorus trichloride
Figure V-2.4-4 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by phosphorus trichloride in China, 2009-2018
Figure V-2.4-5 Experts’ forecast on growth rate of consumption of yellow phosphorus by other products
Figure V-2.4-6 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus by other products in China, 2009-2018
Figure V-2.4-7 Projection on consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2009-2018
Figure VI-1 Experts’ forecast on market opportunity of yellow phosphorus industry in China in the following years

Part of Report: click here for sample pages

Executive Summary

(Note: The following summary is based on the situation in 2009 and maybe different to what it is nowadays. Please be noted.)

 Raw materials

Electricity will still restrict the development of yellow phosphorus production while coke will not. This situation will not change in the future.

China’s phosphorus resource is the second largest in the world with xxx million tonnes while most of it is not rich. Yunnan, Guizhou, Hubei, Sichuan and Hunan capture XXX% of China’s total resource with actual economic value. Chinese government issues some policies to restrict export of phosphorus ore now.

It’s estimated that years of exploitation remaining of Chinese phosphorus resource (average content=XXX%) will be about XXX years, and restriction on exploiting phosphorus resource in China will be stricter in the following years.

 Capacity, output and consumption

Overcapacity has emerged as an eminent problem in Chinese yellow phosphorus industry in recent years. Chinese yellow phosphorus capacity is about xxt/a in 2008 with operation rate of only XXX%. The capacity is expected to grow a little over next ten years to 2018, while output of yellow phosphorus in China is expected to keep relatively stable.

Though China is the largest yellow phosphorus exporter, the export volume of yellow phosphorus will reduce Since 2005, Chinese government has been raising export tariff of yellow phosphorus, which even reached XXX% in Dec. 2008, for protecting Chinese phosphorus resource. In the following years, Chinese government will continue restricting the export of yellow phosphorus and that of low value-added phosphorus products.

Consumption structure of yellow phosphorus in China will not change much in the following years. However, with the growth of wet-process phosphoric acid, yellow phosphorus consumption in thermal phosphoric acid industry will decrease. But its consumption in phosphorus trichloride industry will increase, stimulated by the development of glyphosate and other organophosphorus pesticides. As a result, it is estimated that the demand of yellow phosphorus will have a slight increase in ‘09~’13 with CAGR of XXX%. Then, it will decrease slowly in ‘14~’18 with CAGR of XXX%.

 Manufacturers

Chinese production of yellow phosphorus is concentrated in Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, and Hubei. All of the top XXmanufacturers of yellow phosphorus respectively in the four provinces have their own phosphorus mines, and have ability to integrate production resources and industrial chain. These manufacturers are more competitive and will get more profit in phosphorus market than other small-scale manufacturers.

Integration among manufacturers is an inevitable trend for resource optimization and more profit. In addition, deep processing and comprehensive utilization of wastes are also necessary to address the increasing production cost for yellow phosphorus manufacturers in China.

 Price

The price hike of yellow phosphorus in China since Nov. 2007 is mainly caused by the decrease of yellow phosphorus supply, to be exact, the supply from Yunnan province, with Yunnan government restricting electricity supply to yellow phosphorus enterprises.

Price of yellow phosphorus fluctuates much in 2008, which is influenced by such factors as insufficient supply, the earthquake hitting Sichuan in May 2008, Beijing Olympic Games, increasing yellow phosphorus export tariff, global financial crisis etc.

......

(The rest content of this report is omitted.)

Character of CCM' Report:

This multi-client report provides a comprehensive study on the researched subject in China, from aspects of production, technology, import & export, consumption & end uses, etc.

>>
 All the producers in China, either active or idled or potential, have been sourced and contacted. Their situation has been verified and compiled as in the appendix.
>>
 The competitiveness of Chinese production has been discussed in order to uncover the mystery of ever-increasing capability of Chinese manufacturing.
>>
 The import & export analysis for the situation in the recent three years has been conducted.
>>
 The consumption pattern of the researched subject has been carried out in order to breakdown the end uses into different segments. The major end users under each major end use segments have been identified.
>>
 The scientific methodology has been employed to conduct the quantitative forecast on this subject in the future 5-10 years.

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