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No. 0019P027 The Future of Polyvinylchloride (PVC) and PVC Compound in China  - Edition(1)

 

 

About This Report:

 

Report edition:  2008 edition(1)
Language version: English
Document type: PDF File,(*.pdf)
For ready report --    
  Finished in: Dec 2008 ,edition(1)
  Total pages: 219
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Report Edition List:

 

Version Finished in Availability Language   Pages   Delivery Price/Copy (For single user)
update report - update on request English - within 10-30 work days upon confirmation USD8000.00
2008,edition(1) Dec,2008 available English 219 within 1-1 work days by email USD6500.00

 

 

Description:

 

China, with its great development of PVC, captures about 30% global PVC output and consumption and it is the largest manufacturer and consumer of PVC in the world.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both of calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since China has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As the 60%~80% production cost comes from raw materials cost, any price change of raw material will impart both method greatly. As price of calcium carbide is low in the past several years, Chinese PVC As the largest PVC manufacturer and consumer in the world, China captures about 30% of global PVC output and consumption at present.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since it has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As 60%~80% of production cost comes from raw materials, any price change in raw material will greatly impart China’s PVC production. In the past several years, China’s PVC export has been rising with the low price of calcium carbide. But from July 2008, with the price fall of crude oil, the production cost of ethylene method has been lower than that of calcium carbide method, thus some Chinese PVC manufacturers have shifted to ethylene method.

The analysis of the gross profit of each production method in China during different periods will help you better understand how the raw materials impact the PVC production in China.

Though China is still a net importer of PVC and PVC compound, its import volume has reduced from 2003 greatly. Besides, the capacity growth rate has maintained around 30% in the past few years. With the continuous capacity expansion, China is likely to face overcapacity in the future.

The major driver of the increasing PVC and PVC compound output in China is the growing downstream demand. And the development trend of these downstream industries and their consumption of PVC and PVC compound are also disclosed in this report.

Affected by the global financial crisis, the downstream demand for PVC and PVC compound, especially from construction industry, has greatly reduced. This report forecasts the future development of China’s PVC market in the next 10 years and the opportunities in PVC industry.

The report also covers the following aspects of China’s PVC industry:
- All the PVC producers and some major PVC compound producers in China, which have been sourced and contacted.
- Comparison between calcium carbide method and ethylene method
- Import & export analysis of PVC and PVC compound in China
- Consumption pattern in different end-use segments.
- Investment opportunities in China’s PVC industry

 

Main Content:

 

No. Content
Page
Executive Summary
9
Source & methodology
16
I Brief Introduction to PVC industry in China
18
I-1 Brief introduction to PVC
18
I-2 PVC industry in China
26
II Production of PVC and PVC compound in China
28
II-1 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China
28
II-1.1 China PVC situation in the global market
28
II-1.2 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China
29
II-1.3 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in China in 2008
32
II-1.4 Major problems of China's PVC industry
34
II-2 Technology and production cost
35
II-2.1 Production method
35
II-2.1.1 Classification by polymerization method
35
II-2.1.2 Classification by raw materials
II-2.1.3 Production methods of PVC compound
44
II-2.2 Production cost
48
II-2.2.1 Production cost of calcium carbide method
48
II-2.2.2 Production cost of ethylene method
51
II-2.2.3 Comparison of gross profit between calcium carbide and ethylene method
52
II-3 Major players of PVC compound in China
67
II-3.1 Industry concentration
67
II-3.2 Geographic distribution of PVC in China
68
II-4 New PVC and PVC compound projects under construction or projects to be constructed
74
II-5 Introduction to raw materials of PVC production
75
II-5.1 Calcium carbide
75
II-5.2 EDC
81
II-5.3 VCM
83
II-5.4 Ethylene
84
II-5.5 Crude oil
87
II-5.6 Coal and electricity
88
II-5.7 Salt
90
II-6 Forecast on the production of PVC and PVC compound in the next 5-10 years in China
91
II-6.1 Forecast on the PVC production in the next 5~10 years
91
II-6.2 Forecast on the PVC compound production in the next 5~10 years
93
III Demand for PVC and PVC compound
95
III-1 Global demand for PVC compound
95
III-2 Domestic demand for PVC compound
98
III-2.1 Overview of PVC consumption in China
98
III-2.2 Market size and share of PVC and PVC compound in major end use segments
109
- Automobile
110
- Medical
111
- Construction
113
- Packaging
114
- Others
115
III-2.3 Trends in market size by end use segments
116
III-2.4 Forecast on PVC and PVC compound demand
118
IV Import & export analysis of PVC and PVC compound in the recent three years
124
IV-1 Import situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)
126
IV-1.1 Import volume and price
126
IV-1.2 Major importers
128
IV-1.3 Import origin
132
IV-1.4 Import by province
135
IV-2 Export situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)
139
IV-2.1 Export volume and price
139
IV-2.2 Major exporters
141
IV-2.3 Export destination
146
IV-2.4 Export by province
150
V Pricing of PVC compound
155
V-1 Price changes in the past few years
155
V-2 Factors resulting in price changes
156
V-3 Forecast on PVC price changes in next 10 years
159
VI Forecast on China's PVC compound market to the next 5~10 years
161
VI-1 Factors influencing China's PVC industry
161
VI-1.1 Governmental policies
161
VI-1.2 Macroeconomic factors
164
VI-1.3 Raw materials supply
165
VI-1.4 Technological factors
167
VI-1.5 Inefficient facilities
169
VI-1.6 Lack of capital
170
VI-2 Forecast on PVC compound to the next 5~10 years
171
VII Investment opportunities in China's PVC industry
174
VIII Conclusion and suggestions
177
IX Appendix: profiles of manufacturers
178
IX-1 Active PVC manufacturers
178
IX-1.1 Tianjin Dagu Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
178
… …… …
IX-1.30 Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd
211
IX-2 Active PVC compound manufacturers
213
IX-2.1 Dongguan Win-Tech Plastic Materials Co., Ltd.
213
… …… …
IX-2.10 Daiden Plastics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd
219

LIST OF TABLES
Table I-1.1  Comparison of properties and applications among PVC, PE and PP
Table I-1.3  Corresponding relationship of Henan Haohua’s PVC with national standard
Table I-1.2  Import, export and apparent consumption of PE, PP and PVC in China in 1998~2007 (Unit: 1,000 tonnes)
Table I-1.4  National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-1
Table I-1.5  National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-2
Table II-5.2-1  Production situation of EDC in China in 2005~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.2-2  Capacity of major EDC manufacturers in China in 2007
Table II-5.3-1  Consumption of VCM in China in 2001~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.4-1  Consumption of ethylene in China in 2000~2007 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-5.4-2  Unit consumption of ethylene in China, 2003-2020 (t/t)
Table II-5.4-3  Forecast on ethylene output and consumption in China, 2010-2020 (1,000 tonnes)
Table II-6-1  Assumptions on the GDP growth in China, 2009~2018
Table II-6.1-1  Trends influencing the PVC development in China
Table II-6.1-2  Historical growth of PVC production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.1-3  Future forecast on PVC production in China, 2007~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table II-6.2-1  Trends influencing the development of PVC compound in China
Table II-6.2-2  Historical growth of PVC compound production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.2-3  Future forecast on PVC compound output in China, 2007~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.1-1  PVC consumption in China in 2007, break down by different end-use segment, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.1-2  Major specifications of PVC resin used in China
Table III-2.1-3  Geographic distribution of PVC consumption in China in 2007
Table III-2.1-3  Major producers of PVC profiles in China in 2007
Table III-2.2-1  Realty fixed assets investment in China
Table III-2.4-1  Trends influencing the development of PVC
Table III-2.4-2  Future forecast on PVC consumption in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-3  Future forecast on the consumption of PVC compound in China, 2008~2018, ‘000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-4  Future forecast on market size of PVC in automobile industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-5  Future forecast on market size of PVC in medical industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-6  Future forecast on market size of PVC in construction industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-7  Future forecast on market size of PVC in packaging industry in China, 2008~2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table IV-1  Import and export volume of PVC in China in 1998~2008est, 1,000 tonnes
Table IV-2  Import and export volume of PVC compound in China in 1998~2008est
Table IV-1.2-1  Major PVC importers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-2  Major importers of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-3  Major importers of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-1  Major import origins of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-2  Major import origins of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-3  Major import origins of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-1  PVC import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-2  PVC compound import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-3  PVC paste import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-1  Major PVC exporters in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-2  PVC export carried out by manufacturers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-3  Export situation of China’s PVC manufacturers, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-4  Major exporters of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-5  Major exporters of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-1  Export destinations of China’s PVC, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-2  Export destinations of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-3  Export destination of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-1  Export situation of PVC in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-2  Export situation of PVC compound in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-3  Export situation of PVC paste in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table V-1.1-1  Classification of enterprises in calcium carbide industry in China
Table V-1.1-2  Electricity price policy on the high energy-consuming industry in China
Table V-1.1-3  Export rebate rate for plastics and plastic products in China
Table VI-2.1-1  Supply situation of crude oil in China, 2002~2007, million tonnes
Table VI-2.1-2  Comparison of acetylene production methods of wet process and dry process
Table VI-2-1  Future growth of PVC in China to 2018, 1,000 tonnes
Table VI-2-2  Future growth of PVC compound in China to 2018, 1,000 tonnes

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure II-1.1.2  Growth rate of China’s and global PVC capacity and output in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.1.3  Newly-added PVC capacity and output in China and the world in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.2.1  Production situation of PVC in China in 1995~2007
Figure II-1.2.2  Production situation of PVC in the world in 2000~2007
Figure II-1.2.3  Production situation of PVC compound in China in 2002~2007
Figure II-1.3-1  Production situation of PVC in China in Jan.-Oct. 2008
Figure II-1.3-2  PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by raw material, 1,000 tonnes
Figure II-1.3-3  PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by polymerization method, 1,000 tonnes
Figure II-2.1.1-1  PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.1-2  Growth rate of PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-1  PVC output and growth rate by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-2  PVC output structure by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.2.1-1  Production chain of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-2  Major production process for PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-3  General production cost structure of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.3-1  Production cost of PVC in China, Jan. 2007- Nov. 2008

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Executive Summary

please input the "Executive Summary" descripti(Note: The following summary is based on the situation in 2008 and maybe different to what it is nowadays. Please be noted.)



With the great development of PVC industry, China has become the largest PVC manufacturer and consumer in the world.

There are 101 active PVC manufacturers in China in 2007 with capacity of xxxt/a and output of xxx tonnes in 2007. 2 PVC manufacturers have stopped production in 2008, and the output in 2008 is estimated to be xxx tonnes.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both of the two production methods of PVC, namely, calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since China has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures xxx% of the total output in China.

The gross profit of calcium carbide method is higher than that of ethylene method from Jan. 2007 to Jun. 2008 except Apr.2007 and May 2008. But from July 2008, the gross profit of calcium carbide method has been much lower than that of ethylene method in China, and the former has been even negative from Sep. 2008.

In order to gain more profit, some Chinese PVC manufacturers adopt both calcium carbide and ethylene method since the gross profits of these two methods vary greatly in different periods with the price change of raw materials, thus the producers usually choose the method with larger profit margin.

There are thousands of PVC compound manufacturers in China, but most of them are small-scale manufacturers with capacity of xxxt/a or even less. No PVC manufacturers produce PVC compound. China’s output of PVC compound in 2007 is xxx tonnes with CAGR of PVC compound output in 2002~2007 of xxx%.

In 2002~2007, China’s consumption of PVC increased at a CAGR of xxx%, up to xxx tonnes in 2007, accounting for about xxx% of the global consumption.

PVC compound is mainly used in cable, toy, sole, etc. And cable is the largest application field of PVC compound, which shares about xxx% of the total PVC compound consumed in China.

China is still a net importer of PVC in 2008 though the net import has gradually reduced from 2003. With the growing export and declining import of PVC in China, the PVC export will exceed the import soon. Thus China’s PVC production will be increasingly subject to the international market and global economic dynamics.

PVC compound’s export is expected to exceed the import before xxx. But the trade volume of PVC compound is still much less than its output and consumption in China. Till xxx, the export volume is estimated to be around 6% of the output volume. So the domestic market will still be the focus for China’s PVC compound producers.

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Character of CCM' Report:

This multi-client report provides a comprehensive study on the researched subject in China, from aspects of production, technology, import & export, consumption & end uses, etc.

>>
 All the producers in China, either active or idled or potential, have been sourced and contacted. Their situation has been verified and compiled as in the appendix.
>>
 The competitiveness of Chinese production has been discussed in order to uncover the mystery of ever-increasing capability of Chinese manufacturing.
>>
 The import & export analysis for the situation in the recent three years has been conducted.
>>
 The consumption pattern of the researched subject has been carried out in order to breakdown the end uses into different segments. The major end users under each major end use segments have been identified.
>>
 The scientific methodology has been employed to conduct the quantitative forecast on this subject in the future 5-10 years.

The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way.

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