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No. 0006P001 Future of Plant Growth Regulators in China 2010-2014  - Edition(1)

 

 

About This Report:

 

Report edition:  2010 edition(1)
Language version: English
Document type: PPT|PDF + Excel (PPT or PDF document with additional Excel Document)
For ready report --    
  Finished in: May 2010 ,edition(1)
  Total pages: 139
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Report Edition List:

 

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update report - update on request English - within 30-40 work days by email USD6500.00
2010,edition(1) May,2010 available English 139 within 1-1 work days by email USD5000.00

 

 

Description:

 

China’s plant growth regulator industry has seen remarkable progress in recent years, showing show attractive market potential in the future. Total output and output value of plant growth regulators reached 29,962 tonnes and USD256 million respectively in 2009. About 60% outuput was exported in 2009, the ramaining 40% output about 11,776 tonnes was consumed in domestic.

This report aims to provide comprehensive understanding about Chinese plant growth regulator industry and to find out investment risk and business opportunities in this field. Following aspects of plant growth regulator industry are covered in this report.

-Total supply and demand situation. Discussed in detail the production situation, market share of key producers, market share of downstream fields and market share of key products, etc.

- Production and consumption situation of 10 key plant growth regulators. Analyze the current production technology, registration situation, production and consumption situation, etc.

- Competitiveness analysis of key plant growth regulator producers. Provide competitiveness analysis to know strength and weakness of plant growth regulator producers, and find out opportunities and threats in the industry.

- Forecast on plant growth regulator industry from 2010 to 2014. Analyze the key factors influencing development of plant growth regulator industry, and discuss the trends of plant growth reguloator supply and demand and pricing.

- Identify risk assessment and market opportunities. Policy risk, industry competition risk, small demand and seasonal fluctuation risk, technology risk are assessed, and proposals to avoid risks are raised in this report. Though plant growth regulator industry faces many risks, investment in this industry is still full of many business opportunities, including supply and demand growth of low-toxic and high-efficient plant growth regulator, industry integration and development of new products with high added value, etc.

This report is helpful to:
 Companies engaged in production, R&D and sales of plant growth regulators.
 Analysts and consultants trying to gain insights into Chinese plant growth regulator market.
 Governments paying attention to Chinese plant growth regulator market.
 Chambers of commerce and associations related to plant growth regulator industry.

 

Main Content:

 

No. Content
Page
Executive summary
7
Introduction and methodology
11
I Overview of Chinese PGR industry
14
I-1 Industry introduction
14
I-1.1 Definition, classification and key products
14
I-1.2 Position of PGRs in Chinese pesticide industry
15
I-1.3 Development history
16
I-2 Governmental policies related to PGR Industry
17
I-3 Industry lifecycle identification
27
I-4 Analysis of Barriers of industrial entry and withdrawal
28
I-5 Comprehensive economic benefit analysis
30
II Supply and demand of PGRs in China
32
II-1 Summary of supply and demand
32
II-1.1 Supply summary
32
- Production summary (capacity, output, price, output value) 2009-2010
32
- Production summary (output, output value), 2005-2009
33
- Key manufacturers of PGRs
33
- SWOT analysis of 5 leading manufacturers
35
II-1.2 Demand summary
36
- Market volume and value, 2005-2009
36
- Share of downstream fields, 2009
36
- Share of key players, 2009
37
- Share of key products, 2009
37
II-2 Supply and demand of key products
38
II-2.1 Ethephon
38
- Registration
39
- Production situation
40
- Pricing, 2005-2009
42
- Consumption situation (market volume and value, share of key players, share of downstream fields)
43
II-2.2 Paclobutrazol
46
II-2.3 Mepiquat chloride
54
II-2.4 Gibberellic acid
61
II-2.5 Uniconazole
69
II-2.6 Thidiazuron
76
II-2.7 Chlormequat
83
II-2.8 Sodium nitrophenolate
91
II-2.9 Brassinolide
98
II-2.10 1-Naphthaleneacetic acid
106
III Forecast on PGR industry
114
III-1 Key factors influencing development of PGR industry
114
III-2 Future forecast, 2010-2014
117
IV Risk assessment and opportunities for investment
124
IV-1 Risk assessment and proposals
124
IV-2 Commercial opportunities
128
V Appendix: Profile of major PGR producers in China
130
V-1 Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd.
130
… …
V-8 Jiangsu Sevencontinent Green Chemical Co., Ltd.
138

LIST OF TABLES
Table I-1.1.1 PGR categories and main products
Table I-2.1 Major administrations and policies on pesticides or pesticide industry in China
Table I-2.2 Technology standards of pesticide in China, 2007
Table I-2.3 Components of effluent standards of pollutants for pesticide industry, situation, 2008
Table I-2.4 Effluent standards of pollutants for heterocyclic pesticides industry, Unit: Mg/L
Table I-2.5 Integrated wastewater discharge standard, GB8978-1996, Unit: Mg/L
Table I-2.6 Environmental policies and environmental cost in pesticideindustry in China
Table I-3.1 Growth rate of PGR output, 2005~2009
Table I-4.2 Entry fund barriers of pesticide industry
Table II-1.1.1 Production summary of PGRs in China, 2009
Table II-1.1.2 Key manufacturers of PGR technical in China, 2009
Table II-2.1.1 Regional distribution of ethephon technical registrations, by Mar. 2010
Table II-2.1.2 Production situation of ethephon technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.1.3 Export situation of ethepthon by A.I. in China, 2009
Table II-2.1.4 Application fields and function of ethepthon in those fields in China
Table II-2.2.1 Regional distribution of paclobutrazol technical registrations, by Mar. 2010
Table II-2.2.2 Production situation of paclobutrazol technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.2.3 Export situation of paclobutrazol by A.I. in China, 2009
Table II-2.2.4 Application fields and effect of paclobutrazol in China
Table II-2.3.1 Regional distribution of mepiquat chloride technical registrations, by Mar. 2010
Table II-2.3.2 Production situation of mepiquat chloride technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.3.2 Production situation of mepiquat chloride technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.3.3 Export situation of mepiquat chloride by A.I. in China, 2009
Table II-2.3.4 Application fields and effect of mepiquat chloride in China
Table II-2.4.1 Distribution of gibberellic acid registration
Table II-2.4.2 Production situation of gibberellic acid technical, 2009 and 2010
Table II-2.4.3 Export structure of gibberellic acid technicalby producers, 2009
Table II-2.4.4 The application of gibberellic acid in crops
Table II-2.5.1 Regional distribution of uniconazole technical registrations, by Mar. 2010
Table II-2.5.2 Production situation of uniconazole technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.5.3 Ex-factory price of uniconazole technical in China, Apr. 2010
Table II-2.5.3 Export situation of uniconazole by A.I. in China, 2009
Table II-2.5.4 Application fields and effect of uniconazole in China
Table II-2.6.1 Distribution of thidiazuron registration
Table II-2.6.2 Distribution of thidiazuron registration
Table II-2.6.3 Production situation of thidiazuron technical, 2009 and 2010
Table II-2.6.4 Export structure of thidiazuron technical by producers, 2009
Table II-2.6.5 The application of gibberellic acid in crops
Table II-2.7.1Distribution of chlormequat registration
Table II-2.7.2 Production situation of chlormequat producers, 2009 and 2010
Table II-2.7.3 Export structure of chlormequat technical, by producers, 2009
Table II-2.7.4 The application of chlormequat in crops
Table II-2.8.1 Regional distribution of sodium nitrophenolate technical registrations, by Mar. 2010
Table II-2.8.2 Production situation of sodium nitrophenolate technical in China, 2009-2010
Table II-2.8.3 Export situation of sodium nitrophenolate by A.I. in China, 2009
Table II-2.9.1 Distribution of brassinolide registrations
Table II-2.9.2 Production situation of brassinolide technical producers, 2009-2010
Table II-2.9.3 Export structure of brassinolide technical producers, 2009
Table II-2.9.4The application of brassinolide in crops
Table II-2.10.1 Distribution of NAA registration
Table II-2.10.2 Production situation of NAA technical producers, 2009 and 2010
Table II-2.10.3 Export structure of NAA technical, by producers, 2009
Table II-2.10.4 The application of NAA in crops
Table III-1.1 Significance of factors influencing future development of PGR industry, 2010-2014
Table III-2.1 Assumptions of the future GDP growth in China, 2010-2014
Table IV-1.1 Description of risk level
Table IV-1.2 Risk assessment of Chinese PGR industry
Table V-1.1 Production situation of PGRs of Sichuan Guoguang, 2009
Table V-8.1 Production situation of PGRs of Jiangsu Sevencontinent, 2009

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure I-1.2.1Output share of pesticides, 2009
Figure I-3.1 Industry lifecycle of PGR industry
Figure I-4.1 Barriers of entry and withdrawal of pesticide industry.
Figure II-1.1.1 Output volume and value of PGRs in China, 2005-2009
Figure II-1.1.2 Average price of PGR technical in China, 2005-2009
Figure II-1.2.1 Demand and market value of PGRs in China, 2005-2009
Figure II-1.2.2 Consumption structure of PGRs, 2009
Figure II-1.2.3 Market share of key players by value, 2009
Figure II-1.2.4 Product market share by value, 2009
Figure II-2.1.1 Registration data of ethephon in China, 1984-2010
Figure II-2.1.2 Ethephon registration structure of different formulation types, by Mar. 2010
Figure II-2.1.3 Production process of ethephon by four different routes
Figure II-2.1.4 Ex-factory price of ethephon technical (85%) in China, 2005-Q1 2010
Figure II-2.1.5 Share of ethepthon technical in China by output, 2009
Figure II-2.1.6 key players’s market share of ethepthon formulations in China, 2009
Figure II-2.1.7 Consumption structure of ethepthon formulations in crops, 2009
Figure II-2.1.8 Consumption structure of ethepthon formulations by formulation types, 2009
Figure II-2.2.1 Registration data of paclobutrazol in China, 1991-2010
Figure II-2.2.2 Structure of paclobutrazol registrations by formulation type, by Mar. 2010
Figure II-2.2.3 Production process of paclobutrazol
Figure II-2.2.4 Ex-factory price of paclobutrazol technical (95%) in China, 2005-Q1 2010
Figure II-2.2.5 Share of paclobutrazol technical in China by output, 2009
Figure II-2.2.6 Market share of paclobutrazol formulations by key players in China, 2009
Figure II-2.2.7 Consumption structure of paclobutrazol formulations in crops, 2009
Figure II-2.2.8 Consumption structure of paclobutrazol formulations by formulation types, 2009
Figure II-2.3.1 Registration data of mepiquat chloride in China, 1991-2010
Figure II-2.3.2 Structure of mepiquat chloride registrations by formulation type, by Mar. 2010
Figure II-2.3.3 Production process of mepiquat chloride
Figure II-2.3.4 Ex-factory price of mepiquat chloride technical (98%) in China, 2005-Q1 2010
Figure II-2.3.5 Share of mepiquat chloride technical in China by output, 2009
Figure II-2.3.6 Market share of mepiquat chloride formulations by key players in China, 2009
Figure II-2.3.7 Consumption structure of mepiquat chloride formulations in crops, 2009
Figure II-2.3.8 Consumption structure of mepiquat chloride by formulation types, 2009
Figure II-2.4.1 Registrations of Gibberellic acid, 1986~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.4.2 Ex-factory price of gibberellic acid technical (90%), 2005~Q1 2010
Figure II-2.4.3 Output share of gibberellic acid technical producers, 2009
Figure II-2.4.4 Consumption structure of gibberellic acid in crops in China, 2009
Figure II-2.4.5 Consumption structure of gibberellic acid formulaitons in China, 2009
Figure II-2.5.1 Registration data of uniconazole in China, 1994-2010
Figure II-2.5.2 Formulation type structure of uniconazole registrations, by Mar. 2010
Figure II-2.5.3 Production process of uniconazole
Figure II-2.5.4 Ex-factory price of uniconazole technical (90%) in China, 2005-Q1 2010
Figure II-2.5.5 Share of uniconazole technical in China by output, 2009
Figure II-2.5.6 Market share of uniconazole formulations by key players in China, 2009
Figure II-2.5.7 Consumption structure of uniconazole formulations in crops, 2009
Figure II-2.5.8 Consumption structure of uniconazole by formulation types, 2009
Figure II-2.6.1 Registrations of thidiazuron, 2000 ~ 2010
Figure II-2.6.2 Registrations of thidiazuron formulations by does type, 2000 ~ 2010
Figure II-2.6.3 Ex-factory price ofthidiazuron technical (95%), 2005~Q1 2010
Figure II-2.6.4 Output share of thidiazuron technical producers, 2009
Figure II-2.6.5 Market share of thidiazuron formulations producers in China, 2009
Figure II-2.6.6 Consumption structure of thidiazuron in crops in China, 2009
Figure II-2.6.7 Consumption structure of thidiazuron formulations in China, 2009
Figure II-2.7.1 Registrations of chlormequat, 2001 ~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.7.2 Registrations of chlormequat formulation by does type, 2001 ~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.7.3 Ex-factory price of chlormequat technical (98%), 2005~Q1 2010
Figure II-2.7.4 Output share of chlormequat technical producers, 2009
Figure II-2.7.5 Market share of chlormequat formulation producers, 2009
Figure II-2.7.6 Consumption structure of chlormequat in crops in China, 2009
Figure II-2.7.7 Consumption structure of chlormequat formulations in China, 2009
Figure II-2.7.8 Consumption structure of chlormequat application range
Figure II-2.8.1 Registration data of sodium nitrophenolate in China, 1989-2010
Figure II-2.8.2 Structure of sodium nitrophenolate registrations by formulation type, by Mar. 2010
Figure II-2.8.3 Ex-factory price of sodium nitrophenolate technical (98%) in China, 2005-Q1 2010
Figure II-2.8.4 Share of sodium nitrophenolate technical in China by output, 2009
Figure II-2.8.6 Market share of sodium nitrophenolate by key players in China, 2009
Figure II-2.8.7 Consumption structure of sodium nitrophenolate by application modes, 2009
Figure II-2.8.8 Consumption structure of sodium nitrophenolate in crops, 2009
Figure II-2.9.1 Registrations of brassinolide, 2000 ~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.9.2 Brassinolide formulation registrations of different formulation types, 2000 ~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.9.3 Ex-factory price of brassinolide technical (90%), 2005~Q1 2010
Figure II-2.9.4 Output share of brassinolide technical producers, 2009
Figure II-2.9.5 Market share of brassinolide formulation producers, 2009
Figure II-2.9.6 Consumption structure of brassionlide in crops in China, 2009
Figure II-2.9.7 Consumption structure of brassinolide formulations in China, 2009
Figure II-2.9.8 Consumption structure of brassinolide application range
Figure II-2.10.1 NAA registration number, 1986~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.10.2 Does type of NAA formulation registration, 1986~ Mar.2010
Figure II-2.10.3 Ex-factory price of NAA technical (90%), 2005~Q1 2010
Figure II-2.10.4 Output share of NAA technical producers, 2009
Figure II-2.10.5 Consumption structure of NAA in crops in China, 2009
Figure II-2.10.6 Consumption structure of NAA formulations in China, 2009
Figure II-2.10.7 Consumption structure of NAA application range
Figure III-1.1 Income growth of Chinese peasants, 2004-2009
Figure III-1.2 Agricultural population in China, 2003-2009
Figure III-1.3 Chinese government’s investment in agriculture, 2003-2009
Figure III-2.1 China’s GDP growth, 2001-2009
Figure III-2.2 Projection for output of PGRs in China, 2010-2014
Figure III-2.3 Projection on average price of PGR technical in China, 2010-2014
Figure III-2.4 Projection on output value of PGRs in China, 2010-2014
Figure III-2.5 Projection on price of ethephon, paclobutrazol and sodium nitrophenolate (A.I.) in China, 2010-2014
Figure III-2.6 Projection on demand of PGRs in China, 2010-2014

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Executive Summary

Though it is one of the world largest agriculture planting countries with huge crop output, China is still facing food safety and people's health issues given its rapid population expansion and industrialization process acceleration. Under such context, plant growth regulators (PGRs), with effective ability of improving crop yields, quality and output, have been widely applied in vegetables, fruits, grain crops and other crops and China has been placing increasing emphasis on the application of PGRs.

There are a variety of evidences supporting the prediction of a significant increase in the commercial use of growth regulators and many approaches to discovering and developing these new uses. Currently Farmers are being persuaded to minimize the use of pesticides and fossil fuels, just offering a very opportunity for further development of growth regulator industry.

Key findings

China had totally approved XXX applications of PGR registration, both valid and overdue, from about XXX companies by the end of March 2010, according to ICAMA. Currently, there have been about XXX companies with active production for PGR technical based on our findings.

China’s PGR market witnessed uptrend from 2005 to 2009, except 2008 when many producers stopped production due to increasingly strict environment protection requirements having started in 2008 and at the same time demand from both home and abroad witnessed drastic decreases with the devastating global financial crisis.

Total production capacity of PGRs has reached XXXt/a by May 2010, increasing by about XXXt/a compared with 2009. China’s total output and output value of PGRs were XXX tonnes and USDXXX million in 2009, with CAGR of XXX% and XXX% respectively since 2005. Total output witnessed uptrend from 2005 to 2009 except 2008, but average price of PGRs underwent downtrend in the past years due to the more and more intense market competition with CAGR of XXX% from 2005 to 2009, thus the growth rate of output value is lower than that of output volume.

About XXX% of China’s total PGR output was exported in 2009, only XXX%, namely XXX tonnes for domestic consumption. Market of PGRs in 2009 was only USD XXX million, capturing XXX% of total pesticide market value (USD XXX billion).

Ethephon is a PGR with the largest output in China. Its output reached XXX tonnes in China in 2009, taking up about XXX% of the total PGR output. However, about XXX tonnes, namely XXX% of the total output, was exported to overseas market. Besides, gibberellic acid, paclobutrazol and sodium nitrophenolate are top three products of PGRs with the largest market share, capturing XXX%, XXX% and XXX%, respectively.

Currently, more than half of PGRs were applied in non grain crops like cotton, vegetables and fruits. Among them, cotton takes up the largest market share for about XXX%. Vegetables and fruits each take up XXX%, respectively.

Sichuan Guoguang is the largest domestic formulation producer of PGRs. It captured about XXX% market share of PGRs in China in 2009. Its sales revenue reached about USDXXX million in 2009 with CAGR of XXX since 2005. And it has registered XXX varieties of PGRs.

In addition, Zhengshi Chemical, Nongda Biochemical and Jiangsu Fengyuan also accounted for considerable market share in 2009, estimated about XXX%, XXX%, and XXX%, respectively.

China’s PGR industry has the following market characteristics:

 Small industrial scale and low market concentration.

China’s output value of PGRs was also only USD XXX million, taking up XXX% of total pesticide output value of USD XXX billion in 2009. China has about XXX producers of PGR and most of them are medium and small enterprises. Small output is difficult to form scale economies effect, which suggests relatively high production costs and slim profit for pesticide producers.

 Low profit level.
In China, gross profit ratio of PGR industry is only about XXX% and the net profit ratio are about XXX%.

 Small R&D investment
Investment in research and development of most producers has been very small in China, less XXX% of total sales revenue, and most products are of low added value.

 Lack of patented products
Almost all the PGR products in China are generic products.

 Disorganized market management
At present, supervision over China’s pesticide market is not very strict. Some pesticide producers illegally produce products with high toxicity and some are producing products without obtaining registrations for them.

 Low application technology
Application technology of PGRs is immature in China, with insufficient guidance to peasants. Lack of active promotion and unsatisfactory application effects are reasons for the fact that target products are not easily accepted by Chinese peasants.

Forecast

China’s favorable macro-economic environment, strong and continuous government support provide very good external environment for development of PGR industry.

First, continuously significant growth of China’s GDP reflects a definitely positive environment for PGR industry. China’s GDP is likely to rebound to fast growth, about XXX% in 2010 from the XXX% in 2009 under the impact of the global financial crisis. The growth rate is expected to maintain around XXX% from 2011 to 2014, after the about two-decade XXX% growth rate.

Second, the increasing income of Chinese peasants implies that they will be able to spend more on PGRs. The annual net income growth of Chinese peasants, having lasted in the past years with CAGR of XXX% from 2004 to 2009, reaching XXX in 2009, is expected to continue.

Moreover, Chinese government’s investment in agriculture in the future years is expected to keep growing, thus it will contribute a lot to development of PGR industry. China’s investment in agriculture has been increasing in recent years with total investment of USDXXX billion in 2009, up XXX% over the previous year, with CAGR of XXX% from 2003 to 2009.

China’s PGR industry will keep stable growth momentum in China in the future five years. Total PGR output will increased to XXX tonnes in 2014, with CAGR of XXX% from 2010 to 2014, up XXX% compared with that of XXX tonnes in 2009. Its demand will rise to XXX tonnes in 2014 from XXX tonnes in 2009.

With the continuous increase of production cost on waste treatment, labor and raw materials, the prices of most PGRs are unlikely to decrease in the future years. Average price will hit the bottom in 2010 and 2011, and then it will witness a slight increase from 2012 to 2014. Average price of PGRs is predicted to be USD XXX/t in 2014, with the change of XXX% to XXX% compared with that of 2009, with average price of USD XXX/t in 2009.

According to the output and price forecast, the output value of PGR industry will keep growing in the future 5 years, expected to reach around USD XXX million in 2014, increasing by XXX% compared with 2009, with CAGR of XXX% in 2010-2014, lower than GDP growth.

Risk assessment and commercial opportunities

With the improvement of pesticide industry, China’s PGRs are expected to witness growth both in market volume and value in the future. However, some potential threats still exist for investments in this industry.

 Policy risk
Investment of PGR industry will face threats from more and more strict policies in the future.
 Higher and higher barriers to enter agrochemical industry will increase investor’s production costs and improve its withdrawing risk.
 With the emphasis on environmental protection from the Chinese government, stricter environmental protection polices will be continuously released by China in the future, especially pesticide industry. To some extent, investors will face higher cost risk with higher waste treatment costs and R&D costs.
 Due to RMB appreciation pressure, producers and investors will face the risk of commodity exports, especially pesticide products, because China’s most of pesticides are exported.

 Industry competition risk
In China’s pant growth regulator industry, disorganized market management, small market scale and more overseas companies’ entrance will be difficult to change in the next few years. Investors will face the risk of more intense market competition.

 Small demand and seasonal fluctuation risk
Investors will face the risk of small plant growth reguloator demand and seasonal fluctuation of supply and demand in China.

 Technology risk and raw material risk

Every coin has two sides. Though PGR industry faces many risks, there are also many business opportunities:

 Supply and demand growth of low-toxicity and high-efficiency PGRs
 Industry integration
 Development of new types of PGR
 Development of new products with high added value

......

(The rest content of this report is omitted.)

Character of CCM' Report:

This multi-client report provides a comprehensive study on the researched subject in China, from aspects of production, technology, import & export, consumption & end uses, etc.

>>
 All the producers in China, either active or idled or potential, have been sourced and contacted. Their situation has been verified and compiled as in the appendix.
>>
 The competitiveness of Chinese production has been discussed in order to uncover the mystery of ever-increasing capability of Chinese manufacturing.
>>
 The import & export analysis for the situation in the recent three years has been conducted.
>>
 The consumption pattern of the researched subject has been carried out in order to breakdown the end uses into different segments. The major end users under each major end use segments have been identified.
>>
 The scientific methodology has been employed to conduct the quantitative forecast on this subject in the future 5-10 years.

The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way.

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