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No. 0006G002 Outlook for China Glyphosate Industry 2009-2014  - Edition(6)

 

 

About This Report:

 

Report edition:  2009 edition(6)
Language version: English
Document type: PDF File,(*.pdf)
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  Finished in: Sep 2009 ,edition(6)
  Total pages: 399
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update report - update on request English - within 50-70 work days by email USD27000.00
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2003,edition(1) Jul,2003 available English 143 within 1-1 work days by email USD6500.00

 

 

Description:

 

China in 2009 has posted new record of glyphosate technical capacity of 655,400t/a and 190,000t/a for PMIDA, an eye-catching climb over that in 2008, respectively 485,400t/a and 172,200t/a. Capacity expansion has further strengthened China’s dominating position in global technical supply, accounting for around 70% of the world total at present.

However, China now remains at the low end of the global glyphosate value chain, as a technical supplier, due to its ineffective formulation production technology, weak sales channel and unaccessible registration in international market. Things might change in the future, and China’s influence and importance in global glyphosate formulation market is expected to increase in the near future. Climbing export volume of glyphosate formulation from China might be a clear signal of this trend----- H1 2009 witnessed 20,000 tonnes increased export volume of Chinese glyphosate formulation, compared with the same period of last year, a 20% increase. Among the increased volume, about 97% is exported to U.S., the base of Monsanto.

Given China’s glyphosate changing trend in 2008-2009, both domestic and overseas glyphosate enterprises should pay close attention to existing and potential competitors in China, especially their technology improvement, production cost and market activities, etc., in order to better seize business opportunities.

This report, based on CCM’s 6-year research experiences in Chinese glyphosate industry and its upstream sectors, dives deep into China’s glyphosate industry to figure out the industry’s key characteristics, latest dynamics and future trends, in terms of production, R&D, pricing, export situation, trade flow, consumption/demand, overseas market, key players’ competitiveness and production cost, international collaboration etc. From a global perspective, this sixth edition will provide you with CCM’s primary intelligence.

Penetrating into China’s changing glyphosate market, this report not only provides more accurate data, but also strengthens the following aspects:

- Technology innovation and development in mother liquid treatment
- Technology improvement on formulation production
- Adjuvant development situation
- Analysis on flow research and value chain
- New price model for technical
- Production cost changes
- Consumption investigation
- Glyphosate price fluctuation in past two years and its potential trend

Through explorations in above key aspects, key findings turn out as follows:

- Most glyphosate technical manufacturers are decreasing investment except those with advanced technology or long-term cooperation with MNCs
- Major export destinations have remained as South America, North America and Asia
- Manufacturers are paying more attention to formulation market
- International cooperation is becoming a trend, such as Nantong Jiangshan with Syngenta
- Air oxidation method is not as good as expected
- Technology update and increased investment in wastewater treatment has become a hotspot and an urgent problem with China’s looming ban on production of formulation with AI content lower than 30%.
- Industry integration especially capacity concentration is seeing a pressing trend.

What can you benefit from this report?

As China’s glyphosate has been playing a crucial role in global market and its position will last and even enhance in the future, investment opportunities do exist in Chinese market. With CCM’s insights in this industry, this report will help senior executives and decision makers responsible for formulating business development strategy or seeking competitor intelligence, to better grasp investment opportunities.

Furthermore, the report, covering China’s glyphosate’s whole value chain, will provide insights to most key players along this chain, such as suppliers, distributors, traders of glyphosate raw materials, its intermediates, technical and formulation, as well as technology researchers, suppliers, etc. namely those involved in glyphosate industry or its upstream and downstream industries, thus bringing unexpected benefits to these players.

 

Main Content:

 

No. Content
Page
Executive summary
1
Introduction and methodology
5
I Pesticide industry in China
9
I-1.1 Pesticide history in China
9
I-1.2 Pesticide supply in China
10
I-1.3 Pesticide demand in China
14
I-1.4 Governmental policies on agriculture & pesticide industry
16
II Factors influencing China’s glyphosate industry
19
II-1 Economic environment
20
II-2 Government policy
31
II-3 Crop planting situation in the world
38
II-4 Crop planting situation in China
41
II-5 Entry barriers of glyphosate industry
44
III Glyphosate upstream industry
49
III-1 Introduction to key raw materials & intermediates of glyphosate
49
III-1.1 Glycine
52
III-1.2 IDAN
60
III-1.3 DEA
68
III-1.4 PMIDA
79
III-1.5 Yellow phosphorous
85
III-1.6 Phosphorus trichloride
92
III-1.7 Dimethyl phosphite
97
III-1.8 Paraformaldehyde
103
III-1.9 Hydrocyanic acid
112
III-1.10 Other materials
116
III-1.10.1 Formaldehyde
116
III-1.10.2 Natural gas
118
III-2 Impacts of raw materials on glyphosate industry
121
IV Glyphosate supply
124
IV-1 Glyphosate registration situation
124
IV-2 Glyphosate technical
130
- China’s position in the world glyphosate technical supply
130
- Total supply
131
- Producers
132
- Production by region
140
- Production by pathway
141
- New projects
144
IV-3 Glyphosate formulations
145
IV-3.1 Overview
145
- China’s position in the world glyphosate formulations supply
146
- Total supply by specific formulation
147
IV-3.2 Introduction to specific formulations
155
- Glyphosate 41% solution
155
- Soluble powder & WP forms of glyphosate formulations
156
- High content glyphosate water formulations
157
IV-3.3 China’s weakness in formulation production
158
IV-3.4 Analysis of ban on glyphosate SL with concentration less than 30%
160
IV-3.5 China’s glyphosate formulation trend and its impacts on global market
162
IV-4 Mass balance between glyphosate and its upstream products
166
IV-5 Forecast of glyphosate supply in the next five years
168
V Trade analysis
169
V-1 Trade position in the world
169
V-2 Antidumping issues involving Chinese glyphosate
169
V-3 Export situation of PMIDA and glyphosate
172
V-4 Chinese glyphosate flow
187
V-5 Trade trend of glyphosate in the next five years
191
VI Pricing of glyphosate
192
VI-1 Price
192
VI-1.1 Key factors influencing glyphosate pricing
192
VI-1.2 Analysis of price changes in the past
193
VI-1.3 Current price and price forecast to 2009~2014
196
VI-2 Price index model for glyphosate
200
VI-3 Identification
204
VII Demand for glyphosate
206
VII-1 Global demand for glyphosate
206
- Overview of global genetically modified crop
206
- Global demand for glyphosate
209
VII-2 Domestic demand for glyphosate
212
VII-2.1 Overview of Chinese glyphosate technical consumption
388
VII-2.2 Position and market size of glyphosate in herbicide industry
307
VII-2.3 Glyphosate formulations use in China
308
- by specific formulation
214
- by crop
216
- by region
227
VII-3 Forecast of glyphosate demand in the next five years
234
VIII Production technology & technology level
236
VIII-1 Glyphosate technical
236
VIII-1.1 AEA pathway
237
VIII-1.1.1 Description
237
VIII-1.1.2 Development of AEA pathway in China
238
VIII-1.1.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway
243
VIII-1.1.4 Advantages and problems
244
VIII-1.2 DEA route
244
VIII-1.2.1 Description
244
VIII-1.2.2 Development of AEA pathway in China
247
VIII-1.2.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway
249
VIII-1.2.4 Advantages and problems
249
VIII-1.3 IDAN route
250
VIII-1.3.1 Description
250
VIII-1.3.2 Development of AEA pathway in China
251
VIII-1.3.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway
252
VIII-1.3.4 Advantages and problems
252
VIII-1.4 Comparison of different pathways and development trend
253
VIII-1.5 Wastewater treatment technology
254
VIII-2 Glyphosate formulations
259
VIII-3 Cost analysis of glyphosate (five major glyphosate producers)
266
VIII-3.1 Zhejiang Wynca Chemical Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
267
… …
VIII-3.5 Hubei Sanonda Co., Ltd.
274
IX Competitive landscape of Chinese glyphosate industry
276
X Outlook of Chinese glyphosate in the next five years
283
X-1 Research hot points
283
X-2 Development trend of pathways
284
X-3 Trends of production cost
285
X-4 Trends of supply & demand
287
XI Conclusion, challenges, commercial opportunities and recommendation
290
XI-1 Conclusion
290
XI-2 Challenges, commercial opportunities and recommendation
293
XII Appendix
297
XII-1 Glyphosate technical producers
297
XII-1.01 Zhejiang Wynca Chemical Group Co., Ltd.
297
… …
XII-1.45 Shandong Wucheng Kangda Chemical Co., Ltd.
386
XII-2 PMIDA producers
388
XII-2.01 Jinan Glyline Chemical Co., Ltd.
388
… …
XII-2.05 Jiangsu Zhongdan Group Co., Ltd.
393
XII-3 Recent activities
395
XII-4 SWOT analysis of the five glyphosate manufacturers
399

LIST OF TABLES
Table I -1.1-1 Chinese pesticide industry development
Table I-1.2-1 Output structure of pesticides by volume, 1986-2008 (‘000 tonnes)
Table I-3.2-1 Import & export of pesticides in China, 1993-2008
Table II-1 Factors influencing China’s glyphosate industry
Table II-1.2-1 China’s policies to boost peasants’ income
Table II-1.3-1 Comparison of labor supply and cost between China and US
Table II-1.4-1 Relationship of RMB appreciation with glyphosate technical net profit rate, 2008
Table II-1.5-1 Chinese export value of all products and growth rate, Q1 2008 and Q1 2009
Table II-1.6-1 China’s electricity consumption situation, 2004-2007 (100 million KWh)
Table II-1.7-1 Forecasted bio-energy output in China, 2005, 2010 and 2020
Table II-2.2-1 Advantages of no-tillage land and its application situation in China
Table II-2.3-1 Wastewater discharge standard for glyphosate industry in GB8978-1996 (mg/L)
Table II-2.3-2 Environmental policies and environmental cost in glyphosate industry in China
Table II-2.4-1 Preferential policies provided to enterprises in Jiangsu Rudong
Table II-3-1 Area of cultivated land in some countries, 2007
Table II-3.2-1 Global planting area of GM crops, 1996-2008
Table II-5-1 Capital barriers for glyphosate manufacturers in China
Table II-5-2 Comparison between Zhejiang Wynca and Anhui Tongling
Table II-5-3 Anti-dumping charges launched against Chinese glyphosate by Monsanto
Table II-5-4 Purchase prices of different glyphosate production technologies
Table II-5-5 Environment barriers of glyphosate industry in China
Table III-1.1.1-1 Raw material consumption of glycine production by chloroactic acid ammonolysis process, Aug. 2009
Table III-1.1.1-2 Raw materials consumption of glycine production by natural gas-HCN process, Aug. 2009
Table III-1.1.1-3 China’s production of tech-grade glycine, 2009
Table III-1.1.2-1 Ex-factory price change of industrial grade glycine since 2006
Table III-1.1.3-1 Consumption of glycine in glyphosate, 2001-2008, tonne
Table III-1.1.3-2 Main glyphosate producers and their glycine suppliers, 2009
Table III-1.2-1 Comparison of different production routes of IDAN in China
Table III-1.2.2-2 List of IDAN producers in China as of August 2009 (tonne)
Table III-1.2.2-3 Basic information of main potential producers of IDAN in China
Table III-1.2.2-4 IDAN projects of main potential producers in China
Table III-1.2.4-1 Main IDAN glyphosate producers in China, 2009
Table III-1.3.1-1 Production cost of EA, May 2008
Table III-1.3.1-2 Manufacturers of EA in China -1
Table III-1.3.1-3 Manufacturers of EA in China -2
Table III-1.3.1-4 Manufacturers of DEA in China (tonne)
Table III-1.3.1-5 Potential projects of EA in China
Table III-1.3.1-5 Specification comparison between homemade DEA and imported DEA
Table III-1.3.2-1 Antidumping duties on EA for different companies
Table III-1.3.2-2 Shipment mode of imported DEA by tonne, 2004-2008
Table III-1.3.2-3 Import quantity and price of DEA, 2004-2008 (tonne, USD/kg)
Table III-1.3.2-4 Import quantity of DEA by glyphosate producers, 2003- Apr. 2009 (tonne)
Table III-1.3.4-1 Output of PMIDA & glyphosate by taking DEA as raw material and consumption volume of DEA, 2004-2008 (tonne)
Table III-1.3.4-2 Active producers of glyphosate taking DEA as raw material in China (tonne)
Table III-1.4.1.1 Manufacturers of PMIDA in China (tonne)
Table III-1.5.1-1 Yellow phosphorus output in different regions of China, 1999~2008 (tonne)
Table III-1.5.1-2 Raw material cost of yellow phosphorous in Jul. 2009
Table III-1.6.1-1 Active producers of PCl3 in China, 2009
Table III-1.6.2-1 Raw material cost of PCl3 in China, July 2009
Table III-1.6.1-1 Glyphosate technical output and its PCl3 consumption by different pathway in China, 2001-2008
Table III-1.7.1-1 Comparisons between traditional process and new process
Table III-1.7.1-2 Raw material cost of DMP, Aug. 2009
Table III-1.7.2-1 Top 10 DMP Manufacturers in China, 2005
Table III-1.7.2-2 Chinese DMP manufacturers, as of Aug. 2009
Table III-1.7.4-1 Demand and supply of DMP in glyphosate industry in China
Table III-1.8.1-1 Capacity of unit equipment of PF producers in China as of Aug. 2009, Unit: t/a
Table III-1.8.1-2 Raw material cost of PF in Aug. 2009 (rake-drying method)
Table III-1.8.1-3 Raw material cost of PF in Aug. 2009 (spray drying method)
Table III-1.8.3-1 PF imported directly by glyphosate technical producers, 2005-2007 (kg, USD/kg)
Table III-1.8.3-2 Import & export of PF in the past years
Table III-1.8.4-1 Consumption of PF in agrochemical industry, 2002-2008
Table III-1.8.4-2 Comparison of different pathways in the production of glyphosate technical
Table II-1.9-1 Production situation of hydrocyanic acid in China
Table II-1.9.1-1 Producers of HCN by acrylonitrile pathway in China in 2008
Table II-1.9.2-1 HCN manufacturers by natural gas pathway, 2008
Table II-1.9.3-1 HCN manufacturers by light oil cracking method, 2008
Table III-1.10.1-1 Supply & demand situation of formaldehyde in China (tonne)
Table III-1.10.1-2 Price of natural gas for industry in Sichuan, Chongqing, etc, Aug. 2009
Table IV-1-1 Recommended AI content of glyphosate single formulations in China
Table IV-1-2 Registration situation of glyphosate technical in China as of August 2009
Table IV-1-3 Initial registration time of glyphosate formulations in China
Table IV-1-4 Annual registration situation of key glyphosate formulations in China
Table IV-2-1 Key players of glyphosate technical in the world (‘000 tonnes)
Table IV-2-2 Situation of China’s glyphosate output in global market, 2005-2008 (tonne)
Table IV-2-3 Situation of China’s glyphosate in the overseas market, 2004-2008 (tonne)
Table IV-2-4 Overview of glyphosate technical manufacturers in China-1
Table IV-2-5 Overview of glyphosate technical manufacturers in China-2
Table IV-2-6 Number of glyphosate producers in China, by province
Table IV-2-.7 Capacity and output distribution of glyphosate in China
Table IV-2-8 Capacity of glyphosate technical in China by different pathway
Table IV-2-9 Output of glyphosate technical in China by different pathway (tonne)
Table IV-2-10 Capacity expansion of glyphosate technical in China (tonne)
Table IV-3.1-1 Glyphosate formulation specifications and number of producers in China
Table IV-3.1-2 Output of major glyphosate formulations in China, 2007-2008 (tonne)
Table IV-3.1-3 Distribution of glyphosate formulation producers in 2007 (manufacturers of both glyphosate technical and formulations excluded)
Table IV-3.1-4 List of glyphosate formulations producers (manufacturers of both glyphosate technical and formulations excluded)
Table IV-3.2-1 Some key players of 41%IPA in China
Table IV-3.2-2 Production situation of 41%IPA (Glyphosate technical producers excluded)
Table IV-3.2-3 Production situation of WP (Glyphosate technical producers excluded)
Table IV-3.2-4 Production situation of 62%IPA in China
Table V-3.3-1 Comparisons of weed control effect between ‘Rondup’ and domestic product
Table IV-4-1 Consumptions of major raw materials in PMIDA & glyphosate, 2008 (tonne)
Table V-3.1 Export price of glyphosate in 2004 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.2 Main export destinations of glyphosate in 2004 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.3 Export price of glyphosate in 2005 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.4 Main export destinations of glyphosate in 2005 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.5 Export price of glyphosate in 2006 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.6 Main export destinations of glyphosate in 2006 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.7 Export price of glyphosate in 2007 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.8 Main export destinations of glyphosate in 2007 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.9 Export price of glyphosate in 2008 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-3.10 Main export destinations of glyphosate in 2008 (Quantity: tonne, Price: USD/kg, Value: USD)
Table V-4.1 Cooperation between oversea key players and Chinese companies
Table VI-1.2.1-1 Average price of glyphosate and its related products in China (USD/t)
Table VI-1.2.2-1 Comparisons of glyphosate raw materials price between H1 2007 and H1 2008
Table VI-2-1 Results of correlation analysis
Table VI-2-2 Results of regression analysis on glyphosate, DEA, DMP, IDAN, glycine and Expv.
Table VI-2-3 Results of regression analysis on Glyphosate, DEA, DMP, Glycine and Expv.
Table VI-2-4 The results of the regression analysis on â–³Glyphosate, â–³DEA, â–³DMP, â–³Glycine and â–³Expv.
Table VI-2-5 Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation LM test:
Table VI-2-6 White Heteroskedasticity Test:
Table VI-3-1 Difference between observed price and the estimated price 2003~2009, %
Table VII-1-1 Planting area of GM crops by country in the world, 1996-2008 (million hectares)
Table VII-2.2-1 Supply and consumption of herbicides and its share in glyphosate, 2004~2008 (Calculated by AI, tonne)
Table VII-2.3-1 Consumption of main glyphosate formulations in China, 2004~2008, tonne
Table VII-2.3-2 Provinces with 41% SL consumption exceeding 800 tonnes in 2008, tonne
Table VII-2.3-3 Planting area of main crops in China, 2004~2008, 000’ hectares
Table VII-2.3-4 Glyphosate consumption in main crops in China, 2004~2008, tonne
Table VII-2.3-5 Glyphosate consumption in main fruits, 2004~2008, calculated by AI, tonne
Table VII-2.3-6 Details about glyphosate consumption in main fruits, 2008, calculated by AI
Table VII-2.3-7 Consumption of glyphosate in each province/city, 2008 (Volume: tonne, Value: million USD)
Table VII-2.3-8 Planting area of main fruits by province, 2007, 000’ hectares
Table VII-2.3-9 Provinces with glyphosate consumption of over 1,000 tonnes, 2008 (calculated by AI, tonne)
Table VII-2.3-10 Provinces with glyphosate consumption in orchard exceeding 400 tonnes, 2008 (calculated by AI, tonne)
Table VII-3-1 No-tillage cultivation system development plan in China, million hectares.
Table VII-3-2 Future growth of glyphosate demand by AI in China to 2019, tonne
Table VII-3-3 Future growth of the demand for glyphosate formulation in China to 2019, tonne
Table VIII-1-1 Comparisons of different pathways
Table VIII-1.1.2-1 Comparison between continuous hydrolysis process and batch hydrolysis process in Nantong Jiangshan
Table VIII-1.1.2-2 Value of recycled by-products in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-1.1.2-3 Major achievements for recycling raw materials in glyphosate technical production by AEA pathway
Table VIII-1.1.2-4 Improvements in hydrolysis of glyphosate production by AEA pathway
Table VIII-1.1.3-1 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-1.2.2-1 Development of Raney Cu in China, 1998 and 2008
Table VIII-1.2.3-1 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for DEA route, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-1.3.3-1 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for IDAN route, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-1.4-1 Comparison between AEA pathway and IDA pathway
Table VIII-1.5-1 Main control index and limit value according to Integrated Wastewater Discharge Standard (GB8978-96)
Table VIII-1.5-2 Ingredients of IDA glyphosate mother liquid
Table VIII-1.5-3 Comparisons between membrane method and evaporation method in IDA glyphosate mother liquid concentration
Table VIII-1.5-4 Ingredients of wastewater generated in PMIDA production
Table VIII-2-1 Main domestic and overseas suppliers and special adjuvant of 41% glyphosate SL (IPA salt) in China, 2009
Table VIII-2-2 Raw materials consumption of 10%SL, August 2009 (mother liquid with AEA pathway)
Table VIII-2-2 Raw materials consumption of 10%SL, August 2009 (mother liquor with IDA pathway)
Table VIII-2-3 Theoretical model for manufacturing cost of 10%SL, August 2009 (mother liquor + technical pathway)
Table VIII-2-4 Theoretical model for manufacturing cost of 10%SL, August 2009 (glyphosate technical pathway)
Table VIII-2-5 Raw material cost for 41% glyphosate IPA SL production, August 2009
Table VIII-2-6 Manufacturing cost of 41% glyphosate IPA SL, August 2009
Table VIII-2-7 Raw materials consumption of 62% glyphosate-isopropylammonium, August 2009
Table VIII-2-8 Theoretical model for manufacturing cost of 62% glyphosate IPA SL, August 2009
Table VIII-3-1 Comparisons of glyphosate or PMIDA profits in five major glyphosate producers, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.1-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.1-2 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.1-3 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.1-4 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.1-5 Profit estimation of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.2-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan, Aug. 2009 (AEA pathway)
Table VIII-3.2-2 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan in Aug. 2009 (IDAN route)
Table VIII-3.2-3 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.2-4 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.2-5 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.2-6 Profit estimation of glyphosate in Nantong Jiangshan, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-1 Estimation on raw material costs of PMIDA (IDAN route) in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-2 Estimation on raw material costs of PMIDA (DEA route) in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-3 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-4 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-5 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.3-6 Profit estimation of glyphosate in Anhui Huaxing, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.4-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in Jiangsu Yangnong, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.4-2 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in Jiangsu Yangnong, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.4-3 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in Jiangsu Yangnong, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.4-4 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in Jiangsu Yangnong, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.4-5 Profit estimation of glyphosate in Jiangsu Yangnong, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.5-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in Hubei Sanonda, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.5-2 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in Hubei Sanonda, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.5-3 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in Hubei Sanonda, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.5-4 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in Hubei Sanonda, Aug. 2009
Table VIII-3.5-5 Profit estimation of glyphosate in Hubei Sanonda, Aug. 2009
Table IX-5-1 Comparison between glyphosate and paraquat
Table XII-1.01-1 Major subordinate companies of Zhejiang Wynca
Table XII-1.01-2 Staff structure of Zhejiang Wynca, 2002~2008
Table XII-1.01-3 Revenue from organosilicon, pesticides and other products of Zhejiang Wynca, 2000-2008 (million USD)
Table XII-1.01-4 Revenue percentage from organosilicon, pesticides and other products of Zhejiang Wynca, 2000-2008
Table XII-1.01-5 List of patents of Zhejiang Wynca
Table XII-1.01-6 Technological achievement & awards in Zhejiang Wynca
Table XII-1.01-7 Standard of glyphosate technical in Zhejiang Wynca
Table XII-1.01-8 Capacity of glyphosate in Zhejiang Wynca, 1991-H1 2009
Table XII-1.01-9 Income, cost and profit situation of glyphosate, 2000-2008 (USD)
Table XII-2.05-1 Capacity and output of PMIDA technical in Jiangsu Zhongdan Group, 2008-2009
Table XII-3-1 Change of export tax on phosphate products
Table XII-2-2 Requirement for AI content of single glyphosate formulations type
Table XII-4-1 SWOT analysis of five major producers of glyphosate

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure I-1.2-2 Output changes of pesticides in China, 1986-2008
Figure I-1.2-1 Pesticide technical monthly output, 2008
Figure I-1.2-3 Growth rate of pesticide output in China, 1986-2008
Figure I-3.1-1 Change of Cultivated land area and planting area in China, 2001-2008
Figure I-3.1-2 Crop planting structure by crop area, 1998 and 2008
Figure II-1.1-1 China’s GDP growth, 2000-2008
Figure II-1.1-2 Per capita GDP and growth rate of domestic glyphosate consumption in 2005-2008
Figure II-1.2-1 Per capita annual income of rural households in China, 2003-2008
Figure II-1.2-2 Engel’s coefficient in China, 1997-2008
Figure II-1.3-1 Average annual salary per capita and growth rate in China, 2000-2008
Figure II-1.3-1 Population structure, 2000-2008 (million population)
Figure II-1.3-2 Per capita crop planting area and its growth rate, 2000-2008
Figure II-1.5-1 Export volume growth rate of Chinese goods to different destination countries and regions, Q1 2008 and Q1 2009
Figure II-1.5-2 Export value of Chinese goods to different destination countries and regions, Q1 2008 and Q1 2009
Figure II-1.6-1 Prices of crude oil, raw coal and glyphosate technical in China, 2007-2009
Figure II-1.6-2 Output and consumption structure of energy, 2001-2007
Figure II-1.6-3 China’s output and import of crude oil, 2002-2008
Figure II-1-6-4 China’s import volume of liquid natural gas, 2005-2008
Figure II-3.2-1 Global planting area of GM crops, 2001-2008
Figure II-3.2-2 Global planting area of different GM crops, 1996-2008
Figure II-3.2-3 Global planting area of GM crops with different traits, 1996-2008 (million hectares)
Figure II-3.2-3 Growth rate of global planting area of GM crops with different traits, 2002-2008
Figure II-4.1-1 Planting area of major conventional crops in China, 2004-2008
Figure III-1-1 Concise flow charts of glyphosate with IDA and AEA pathways
Figure III-1-2 Glyphosate by different pathways and value chain of key raw materials
Figure III-1.1.1-1 Flowchart of chloroactic acid ammonolysis process
Figure III-1.1.1-2 Flowchart of natural gas-HCN process
Figure III-1.1.1-3 Flowchart of Strecker process
Figure III-1.1.1-4 Flowchart of improved Strecker process
Figure III-1.1.2-1 Ex-factory price change of tech-grade glycine, 2006-2009
Figure III-1.1.3-1 Output structure of glyphosate by different pathway, 2001-2008
Figure III-1.2-1 Production process of IDAN by natural gas route in China
Figure III-1.2.2-1 IDAN output in China, 2005-2008
Figure III-1.2.2-2 Natural gas output in China and in Sichuan&Chongqing, 2004-2008
Figure III-1.2.3-1 Price changes of IDAN in China, 2004-2009 (USD/t)
Figure III-1.3.1-1 Flowchart of EA production in China
Figure III-1.3.1-2 Distribution of EA production in China, as of August 2009
Figure III-1.3.2-1 Shipment mode of imported DEA, 2004-2008
Figure III-1.3.2-2 Yearly imports of DEA, 1998-Apr. 2009
Figure III-1.3.3-1 Ex-factory price of homemade DEA in China, 2006-July 2009
Figure II-2.7.3-2 Price of imported EA in China in the past few years
Figure III-1.3.4-1 Apparent consumption of DEA in China, 2000- 2008
Figure III-1.4-1 Supply situation of PMIDA in China, 2005-2009
Figure III-1.5.1-1 Capacity and output of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000-2008
Figure III-1.5.2-1 Ex-factory price of yellow phosphorus in China, 2006~Jul. 2009
Figure III-1.5.3-1 Industrial chain of yellow phosphorus in China
Figure III-1.5.3-2 Apparent consumption of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-1.5.3-3 Yellow phosphorus consumption structure by province in China, 2008
Figure III-1.5.3-4 Consumption structure of yellow phosphorus in China, 2000~2008
Figure III-1.6.2-1 Ex-factory price change of PCl3, yellow phosphorus and liquid chloride
Figure III-1.6.2-2 Ex-factory price of PCl3 in China, 2006-Jul. 2009
Figure III-1.6.1-1 Consumption structure of PCl3 in China by end use, 2004
Figure III-1.6.1-2 PCl3 consumption volume in glyphosate and its share in total PCl3 consumption in China, 2001-2008
Figure III-1.7.1-1 Flowchart of DMP production by continuous non-solvent production
Figure III-1.7.3-1 Ex-factory prices of DMP and yellow phosphorus, Jan. 2008~ Aug. 2009
Figure III-1.8.1-1 Capacity and output of PF in China, 2002-2009
Figure III-1.8.1-2 Apparent consumption and output of PF in China, 2002-2008
Figure III-1.8.4-1 Consumption fields of PF in China in 2008
Figure III-1.8.4-2 Geographic distribution of China’s PF consumption, 2007
Figure III-1.8.4-3 Consumption of PF in glyphosate in China, 2002-2008
Figure III-1.8.4-4 Output share of glyphosate with different pathways, 2001-2008
Figure III-1.10.1-1 Ex-factory price of formaldehyde and methanol in China, 2008-Aug. 2009
Figure III-1.10.1-2 Consumption structure of formaldehyde in recent years in China
Figure III-1.10.1-3 Output and consumption of China’s natural gas, 2004-2008
Figure IV-1-1 Specifications of active registration for single glyphosate formulations in China as of Aug. 2009
Figure IV-2-1 Supply situation of Chinese glyphosate technical
Figure IV-2-2 China’s glyphosate distribution
Figure IV-2-3 Output share of glyphosate by distribution, 2008
Figure IV-2-3 Output share of glyphosate technical in China, by different pathway
Figure IV-3.3-1 Export volume of glyphosate formulations, 2004-2009
Figure IV-4-1 Consumption of major raw materials in PMIDA & glyphosate, 2008
Figure IV-5-1 Forecast on Chinese glyphosate supply, 2009-2014
Figure V-1.1 Global technical supply & China’s rising share in global supply, 2004-2008
Figure V-3.1 Export volume of PMIDA and glyphosate, 2004-2008
Figure V-3.2 Export value of glyphosate and PMIDA, 2004-2008
Figure V-3.3 Export prices of PMIDA and glyphosate, 2004-2009
Figure V-3.4 Export destination of PMIDA, 2004-2008 (tonne)
Figure V-3.5 Export regions of glyphosate, 2004-2008
Figure V-3.6 Export volume of China’s glyphosate in Argentina, 2004-2008
Figure V-4.1 Glyphosate technical flow, 2008
Figure V-4.2 Major overseas importers of Chinese glyphosate technical, 2008 (tonne)
Figure V-4.3 Glyphosate formulation flow, 2008
Figure VI-1.2.1-1 Pricing of glyphosate technical & main raw materials, 2006-Aug. 2009
Figure VI-1.3.1-1 Comparisons of glyphosate technical price in the first 8 months of 2008 and 2009
Figure VI-1.3.2-1 Forecast of quarterly price of glyphosate technical in China.
Figure VI-3-1 Difference between observed market price and the estimated with the price model
Figure VII-1-1 Global harvested area of GM crops, 1996-2008
Figure VII-1-2 Global harvested area of GM crops, 2004-2008
Figure VII-1-3 GM crop planting countries in the world, 2008
Figure VII-1-4 Global glyphosate consumption volume and growth rate, 2004~2008
Figure VII-1-5 Glyphosate consumption distribution structure by volume, 2004~2008
Figure VII-1-6 Growth rate of glyphosate consumption in different areas, 2005-2008
Figure VII-2.1-1 Output and export of glyphosate technical, 2004~2008
Figure VII-2.2-1 Consumption shares of main herbicides (calculated by 100%) in China, 2008
Figure VII-2.3-1 Consumption of glyphosate formulations in China, 2004~2008
Figure VII-2.3-2 Changes of consumption structure of glyphosate by main formulation, 2004~2008
Figure VII-2.3-3 Geographical distribution of main orchards in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-4 Geographical distribution of rice planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-5 Geographical distribution of main corn planting areas in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-6 Geographical distribution of soybean planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-7 Geographical distribution of major cotton planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-8 Geographical distribution of sugarcane planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-9 Geographical distribution of tea planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-10 Geographical distribution of rubber planting area in China, 2007
Figure VII-2.3-11 Glyphosate consumption structure in Guangdong province, 2008
Figure VII-2.3-12 Glyphosate consumption structure in Guangxi province, 2008
Figure VII-2.3-13 Glyphosate consumption structure in Henan province, 2008
Figure VII-2.3-14 Glyphosate consumption structure in Yunnan province, 2008
Figure VII-2.3-15 Glyphosate consumption structure in Shandong province, 2008
Figure VII-3-1 Forecast for glyphosate consumption in China, 2009~2014, tonne
Figure VIII-1-1 Different pathways of glyphosate technical production in China
FigureVIII-1.1.1-1 Flowchart of AEA pathway
Figure VIII-1.1.2-1 Recycling system of glyphosate production by AEA pathway
FigureVIII-1.2.1-1 Flowchart of DEA route
Figure VIII-1.3.1-1 Flowchart of IDAN route
Figure VIII-1.5-1 Wastewater treatment process for glyphosate
Figure VIII-1.5-2 Treatment process of IDA glyphosate mother liquid with membrane method
Figure VIII-1.5-3 Treatment process of AEA glyphosate mother liquid
Figure VIII-2-1 Production flow chart of 75.7% glyphosate WDG
Figure X-4-1 Structure of global demand for Chinese glyphosate, 2004-2009est

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Executive Summary

Glyphosate, the key active ingredient of Roundup, is one of the most commonly sold herbicides in the market today. With rapidly increasing demand, glyphosate has shared more than xx% of the global herbicide sales volume.

After nearly 30 years’ development, China has become the largest production base of glyphosate technical in the world and has been supplying nearly two thirds of the global production of glyphosate, one of the most popular herbicides.

China’s glyphosate industry has developed fast since 2007 with rapid increase in both capacity and output. The total capacity of glyphosate technical in 2008 was xxxxt/a with annual growth rate of xxxx%. As of August 2009, China has had xx glyphosate producers with total capacity of around xxxxt/a. And the estimated glyphosate output reached xxxx tonnes in 2008 with CAGR of xxxx% in 2004-2008.

Attracted by fat profit in glyphosate production in H2 2007 and H1 2008, over xx new entrants rushed into glyphosate technical production in 2008 due to lack of supervision on and low entry threshold of glyphosate industry.

China’s glyphosate industry highly depends on overseas market, with about xx% of its glyphosate output exported every year. Besides, China has become the largest exporter of glyphosate in the world in recent years, and the export volume has reached xxxx tonnes in 2008, satisfying around xxxx% of the global demand. The export volume of glyphosate technical shared about xxxx% of the total technical output in 2008.

In China, glyphosate is quite important for the weeding in orchard, wasteland reclamation, and traditional crop fields in the period of pre-seeding. Orchard is the largest application of glyphosate, accounting for about xxxx% of the country’s total in 2008. With the lowest price among various formulations, 10%SL is the most popular glyphosate formulation at home, accounting for about xx% of the total glyphosate formulation use in 2008. The top x provinces by glyphosate consumption (AI) are Guangdong, Guangxi, Henan, Yunnan and Shandong, with their total consumption accounting for about xxxx% of the country’s total in 2008.

There are two pathways for glyphosate production in China including IDA pathway and AEA pathway. According to the difference of raw materials, IDA pathway can also be subdivided into two categories, which are DEA route and IDAN route.

Because of its simple flowchart and mature technology, AEA method is easy to be mastered by most companies, plus the sufficient raw material supply in China, the AEA pathway which has been eliminated in the international market has been widely used in China’s glyphosate industry. As of August 2009, the glyphosate capacity by this pathway was about xxxxt/a, accounting for xxxx% of China’s total capacity.

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This multi-client report provides a comprehensive study on the researched subject in China, from aspects of production, technology, import & export, consumption & end uses, etc.

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 All the producers in China, either active or idled or potential, have been sourced and contacted. Their situation has been verified and compiled as in the appendix.
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 The import & export analysis for the situation in the recent three years has been conducted.
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 The consumption pattern of the researched subject has been carried out in order to breakdown the end uses into different segments. The major end users under each major end use segments have been identified.
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 The scientific methodology has been employed to conduct the quantitative forecast on this subject in the future 5-10 years.

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